Recent generic ballot polling showing a Democratic advantage and an enthusiasm gap favoring that party amid a Republican presidency have shaped trader expectations for 2026 House turnout. Historical midterm totals reached 108 million votes in 2022 and higher in 2018, with participation influenced by voter mobilization, economic conditions, and redistricting in states including California, Texas, and North Carolina. Early primary data and special election patterns indicate stronger Democratic engagement, while Republican base motivation remains a variable. These competing factors, combined with typical midterm turnout patterns below presidential years, sustain close pricing across the 115-130 million range without a dominant outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.3亿+ 44%
1.15亿-1.2亿 14%
1.25亿-1.3亿 14%
1.2亿-1.25亿 12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于8500万
<1%
8500万-9000万
<1%
9000万-9500万
1%
9500万-1亿
5%
1亿-1.05亿
5%
1.05亿-1.1亿
8%
1.10亿-1.15亿
15%
1.15亿-1.2亿
28%
1.2亿-1.25亿
33%
1.25亿-1.3亿
14%
1.3亿+
31%
1.3亿+ 44%
1.15亿-1.2亿 14%
1.25亿-1.3亿 14%
1.2亿-1.25亿 12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于8500万
$324 交易量
<1%
8500万-9000万
$419 交易量
<1%
9000万-9500万
$1,552 交易量
1%
9500万-1亿
$269 交易量
5%
1亿-1.05亿
$809 交易量
5%
1.05亿-1.1亿
$436 交易量
8%
1.10亿-1.15亿
$526 交易量
15%
1.15亿-1.2亿
$1,025 交易量
28%
1.2亿-1.25亿
$408 交易量
33%
1.25亿-1.3亿
$1,204 交易量
14%
1.3亿+
$318 交易量
31%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent generic ballot polling showing a Democratic advantage and an enthusiasm gap favoring that party amid a Republican presidency have shaped trader expectations for 2026 House turnout. Historical midterm totals reached 108 million votes in 2022 and higher in 2018, with participation influenced by voter mobilization, economic conditions, and redistricting in states including California, Texas, and North Carolina. Early primary data and special election patterns indicate stronger Democratic engagement, while Republican base motivation remains a variable. These competing factors, combined with typical midterm turnout patterns below presidential years, sustain close pricing across the 115-130 million range without a dominant outcome.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
交易量
$7,289结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent generic ballot polling showing a Democratic advantage and an enthusiasm gap favoring that party amid a Republican presidency have shaped trader expectations for 2026 House turnout. Historical midterm totals reached 108 million votes in 2022 and higher in 2018, with participation influenced by voter mobilization, economic conditions, and redistricting in states including California, Texas, and North Carolina. Early primary data and special election patterns indicate stronger Democratic engagement, while Republican base motivation remains a variable. These competing factors, combined with typical midterm turnout patterns below presidential years, sustain close pricing across the 115-130 million range without a dominant outcome.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$7,289结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent generic ballot polling showing a Democratic advantage and an enthusiasm gap favoring that party amid a Republican presidency have shaped trader expectations for 2026 House turnout. Historical midterm totals reached 108 million votes in 2022 and higher in 2018, with participation influenced by voter mobilization, economic conditions, and redistricting in states including California, Texas, and North Carolina. Early primary data and special election patterns indicate stronger Democratic engagement, while Republican base motivation remains a variable. These competing factors, combined with typical midterm turnout patterns below presidential years, sustain close pricing across the 115-130 million range without a dominant outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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