Market icon

在下次美联储会议上有多少异议?

Market icon

在下次美联储会议上有多少异议?

1 100.0%

0 <1%

2 <1%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

1 100.0%

0 <1%

2 <1%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

0

$0 交易量

1

$0 交易量

2

$0 交易量

3

$0 交易量

4+

$0 交易量

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices exactly one dissent at the July 30-31 FOMC meeting at virtually 100%, reflecting divisions exposed in the June dot plot where only nine policymakers projected a 2024 rate cut versus four seeing none. This positioning stems from hawkish voices like Michelle Bowman and Lisa Cook signaling resistance to premature easing amid sticky inflation above 2%, echoing rare single dissents during past policy pivots like 2019. Supporting factors include unanimous June votes but heated minutes debate on cut timing, with CME FedWatch implying a hold. Challenges could arise from cooler July CPI (due July 11) fostering unity or unexpectedly hot data sparking multiple hawkish no's.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-03-18
市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices exactly one dissent at the July 30-31 FOMC meeting at virtually 100%, reflecting divisions exposed in the June dot plot where only nine policymakers projected a 2024 rate cut versus four seeing none. This positioning stems from hawkish voices like Michelle Bowman and Lisa Cook signaling resistance to premature easing amid sticky inflation above 2%, echoing rare single dissents during past policy pivots like 2019. Supporting factors include unanimous June votes but heated minutes debate on cut timing, with CME FedWatch implying a hold. Challenges could arise from cooler July CPI (due July 11) fostering unity or unexpectedly hot data sparking multiple hawkish no's.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-03-18
市场开放时间
Jan 29, 2026, 12:54 PM ET
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for March 17-18, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on March 18, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 17-18, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"在下次美联储会议上有多少异议?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"1",概率为 100%,其次是"0",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"在下次美联储会议上有多少异议?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jan 29, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"在下次美联储会议上有多少异议?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"在下次美联储会议上有多少异议?"的当前领先者是"1",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"0",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"在下次美联储会议上有多少异议?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。