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Kevin Warsh美联储主席提名在5月15日前撤回?

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Kevin Warsh美联储主席提名在5月15日前撤回?

3% chance
Polymarket

$63,978 交易量

3% chance
Polymarket

$63,978 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. No formal nomination of Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair has been submitted by President-elect Trump to the Senate, rendering withdrawal by May 15 impossible and driving the 96.7% "No" trader consensus. Recent transition updates highlight Trump's positive interviews with Warsh and other candidates like Scott Bessent, amid plans to replace Chair Jerome Powell whose term ends in May 2026, but no controversies, Senate opposition, or policy clashes on inflation targets have surfaced to derail Warsh. Post-inauguration nominations and confirmation hearings are expected in early 2025, providing time before the deadline. Rare shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, whip counts showing confirmation blocks, or Trump executive actions prioritizing different monetary policy views.

No formal nomination of Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair has been submitted by President-elect Trump to the Senate, rendering withdrawal by May 15 impossible and driving the 96.7% "No" trader consensus. Recent transition updates highlight Trump's positive interviews with Warsh and other candidates like Scott Bessent, amid plans to replace Chair Jerome Powell whose term ends in May 2026, but no controversies, Senate opposition, or policy clashes on inflation targets have surfaced to derail Warsh. Post-inauguration nominations and confirmation hearings are expected in early 2025, providing time before the deadline. Rare shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, whip counts showing confirmation blocks, or Trump executive actions prioritizing different monetary policy views.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count. If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. No formal nomination of Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair has been submitted by President-elect Trump to the Senate, rendering withdrawal by May 15 impossible and driving the 96.7% "No" trader consensus. Recent transition updates highlight Trump's positive interviews with Warsh and other candidates like Scott Bessent, amid plans to replace Chair Jerome Powell whose term ends in May 2026, but no controversies, Senate opposition, or policy clashes on inflation targets have surfaced to derail Warsh. Post-inauguration nominations and confirmation hearings are expected in early 2025, providing time before the deadline. Rare shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, whip counts showing confirmation blocks, or Trump executive actions prioritizing different monetary policy views.

No formal nomination of Kevin Warsh for Federal Reserve Chair has been submitted by President-elect Trump to the Senate, rendering withdrawal by May 15 impossible and driving the 96.7% "No" trader consensus. Recent transition updates highlight Trump's positive interviews with Warsh and other candidates like Scott Bessent, amid plans to replace Chair Jerome Powell whose term ends in May 2026, but no controversies, Senate opposition, or policy clashes on inflation targets have surfaced to derail Warsh. Post-inauguration nominations and confirmation hearings are expected in early 2025, providing time before the deadline. Rare shifts could stem from late-breaking scandals, whip counts showing confirmation blocks, or Trump executive actions prioritizing different monetary policy views.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"Kevin Warsh美联储主席提名在5月15日前撤回?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"凯文·沃什的美联储主席提名会在5月15日前被撤回吗?",概率为 3%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 3¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 3%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Kevin Warsh美联储主席提名在5月15日前撤回?"已产生 $64K 的总交易量(自Mar 5, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Kevin Warsh美联储主席提名在5月15日前撤回?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"Kevin Warsh美联储主席提名在5月15日前撤回?"的当前领先者是"凯文·沃什的美联储主席提名会在5月15日前被撤回吗?",仅有 3%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"Kevin Warsh美联储主席提名在5月15日前撤回?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。