President-elect Trump's recent public statements have solidified trader consensus against an attempt to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by March 31, with "No" shares implying 99.5% probability. In December interviews, including with Time magazine, Trump explicitly stated he has no plans to remove Powell, preferring to let his term expire in May 2026 amid emphasis on Fed independence. Legal constraints require "cause" for removal, deterring unilateral action early in the administration. No recent developments signal escalation, such as policy clashes or nominations. While unforeseen economic shocks or public spats could prompt a reversal, traders view such scenarios as remote before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$37,544 交易量
$37,544 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$37,544 交易量
$37,544 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Trump's recent public statements have solidified trader consensus against an attempt to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by March 31, with "No" shares implying 99.5% probability. In December interviews, including with Time magazine, Trump explicitly stated he has no plans to remove Powell, preferring to let his term expire in May 2026 amid emphasis on Fed independence. Legal constraints require "cause" for removal, deterring unilateral action early in the administration. No recent developments signal escalation, such as policy clashes or nominations. While unforeseen economic shocks or public spats could prompt a reversal, traders view such scenarios as remote before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
交易量
$37,544结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Trump's recent public statements have solidified trader consensus against an attempt to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by March 31, with "No" shares implying 99.5% probability. In December interviews, including with Time magazine, Trump explicitly stated he has no plans to remove Powell, preferring to let his term expire in May 2026 amid emphasis on Fed independence. Legal constraints require "cause" for removal, deterring unilateral action early in the administration. No recent developments signal escalation, such as policy clashes or nominations. While unforeseen economic shocks or public spats could prompt a reversal, traders view such scenarios as remote before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$37,544结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Trump's recent public statements have solidified trader consensus against an attempt to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by March 31, with "No" shares implying 99.5% probability. In December interviews, including with Time magazine, Trump explicitly stated he has no plans to remove Powell, preferring to let his term expire in May 2026 amid emphasis on Fed independence. Legal constraints require "cause" for removal, deterring unilateral action early in the administration. No recent developments signal escalation, such as policy clashes or nominations. While unforeseen economic shocks or public spats could prompt a reversal, traders view such scenarios as remote before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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