President Trump's public statements affirming no plans to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, coupled with the legal requirement for "for cause" dismissal under the Federal Reserve Act—applicable only for misconduct, not policy disagreements—drive the 99.5% trader consensus against any firing attempt by March 31. Recent interviews, including Trump's December emphasis on Powell cutting interest rates rather than replacement, and absence of post-inauguration (January 20) actions from the White House or Treasury, reinforce this positioning. No developments in the past 30 days signal intent, with Fed independence historically resilient to executive pressure. Realistic shifts could stem from acute economic downturns, rate policy clashes at upcoming FOMC meetings, or sudden policy announcements, though the tight timeline limits feasibility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$37,544 交易量
$37,544 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$37,544 交易量
$37,544 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's public statements affirming no plans to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, coupled with the legal requirement for "for cause" dismissal under the Federal Reserve Act—applicable only for misconduct, not policy disagreements—drive the 99.5% trader consensus against any firing attempt by March 31. Recent interviews, including Trump's December emphasis on Powell cutting interest rates rather than replacement, and absence of post-inauguration (January 20) actions from the White House or Treasury, reinforce this positioning. No developments in the past 30 days signal intent, with Fed independence historically resilient to executive pressure. Realistic shifts could stem from acute economic downturns, rate policy clashes at upcoming FOMC meetings, or sudden policy announcements, though the tight timeline limits feasibility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
交易量
$37,544结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's public statements affirming no plans to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, coupled with the legal requirement for "for cause" dismissal under the Federal Reserve Act—applicable only for misconduct, not policy disagreements—drive the 99.5% trader consensus against any firing attempt by March 31. Recent interviews, including Trump's December emphasis on Powell cutting interest rates rather than replacement, and absence of post-inauguration (January 20) actions from the White House or Treasury, reinforce this positioning. No developments in the past 30 days signal intent, with Fed independence historically resilient to executive pressure. Realistic shifts could stem from acute economic downturns, rate policy clashes at upcoming FOMC meetings, or sudden policy announcements, though the tight timeline limits feasibility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$37,544结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's public statements affirming no plans to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, coupled with the legal requirement for "for cause" dismissal under the Federal Reserve Act—applicable only for misconduct, not policy disagreements—drive the 99.5% trader consensus against any firing attempt by March 31. Recent interviews, including Trump's December emphasis on Powell cutting interest rates rather than replacement, and absence of post-inauguration (January 20) actions from the White House or Treasury, reinforce this positioning. No developments in the past 30 days signal intent, with Fed independence historically resilient to executive pressure. Realistic shifts could stem from acute economic downturns, rate policy clashes at upcoming FOMC meetings, or sudden policy announcements, though the tight timeline limits feasibility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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