The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades at 4.31%, reflecting trader consensus on a resilient U.S. economy tempering aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts despite inflation cooling to 2.7% headline in November CPI data. Yields have climbed from 3.86% post-election lows on expectations of fiscal stimulus, tax cuts, and higher deficits boosting Treasury supply, with 10-year auction demand softening amid volatility. Fed funds futures imply 50 basis points of easing in 2025, versus the September dot plot's 75 basis points, signaling higher-for-longer rates. Key catalysts include tomorrow's December CPI release, December 18 FOMC meeting with updated projections, and January nonfarm payrolls, which could push yields toward 4.5% if inflation sticks or growth exceeds forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2027年之前， 10年期美国国债收益率会有多高？
2027年之前， 10年期美国国债收益率会有多高？
$142,616 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
4.4%
100%
4.5%
86%
4.6%
56%
4.8%
39%
5.0%
24%
5.2%
18%
5.5%
14%
5.7%
11%
6.0%
11%
$142,616 交易量
4.4%
$18,628 交易量
100%
4.5%
$8,148 交易量
86%
4.6%
$31,001 交易量
56%
4.8%
$42,330 交易量
39%
5.0%
$24,633 交易量
24%
5.2%
$7,150 交易量
18%
5.5%
$980 交易量
14%
5.7%
$2,297 交易量
11%
6.0%
$1,411 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades at 4.31%, reflecting trader consensus on a resilient U.S. economy tempering aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts despite inflation cooling to 2.7% headline in November CPI data. Yields have climbed from 3.86% post-election lows on expectations of fiscal stimulus, tax cuts, and higher deficits boosting Treasury supply, with 10-year auction demand softening amid volatility. Fed funds futures imply 50 basis points of easing in 2025, versus the September dot plot's 75 basis points, signaling higher-for-longer rates. Key catalysts include tomorrow's December CPI release, December 18 FOMC meeting with updated projections, and January nonfarm payrolls, which could push yields toward 4.5% if inflation sticks or growth exceeds forecasts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
市场开放时间： Dec 9, 2025, 2:17 PM ET
交易量
$142,616结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 9, 2025, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades at 4.31%, reflecting trader consensus on a resilient U.S. economy tempering aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts despite inflation cooling to 2.7% headline in November CPI data. Yields have climbed from 3.86% post-election lows on expectations of fiscal stimulus, tax cuts, and higher deficits boosting Treasury supply, with 10-year auction demand softening amid volatility. Fed funds futures imply 50 basis points of easing in 2025, versus the September dot plot's 75 basis points, signaling higher-for-longer rates. Key catalysts include tomorrow's December CPI release, December 18 FOMC meeting with updated projections, and January nonfarm payrolls, which could push yields toward 4.5% if inflation sticks or growth exceeds forecasts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
交易量
$142,616结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 9, 2025, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield currently trades at 4.31%, reflecting trader consensus on a resilient U.S. economy tempering aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts despite inflation cooling to 2.7% headline in November CPI data. Yields have climbed from 3.86% post-election lows on expectations of fiscal stimulus, tax cuts, and higher deficits boosting Treasury supply, with 10-year auction demand softening amid volatility. Fed funds futures imply 50 basis points of easing in 2025, versus the September dot plot's 75 basis points, signaling higher-for-longer rates. Key catalysts include tomorrow's December CPI release, December 18 FOMC meeting with updated projections, and January nonfarm payrolls, which could push yields toward 4.5% if inflation sticks or growth exceeds forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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