President-elect Donald Trump has not formally nominated a successor to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term runs until May 2026, keeping markets focused on speculative candidates like former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh. Warsh, who served from 2006 to 2011 advocating tighter monetary policy amid the financial crisis, has gained traction in recent transition reporting as Trump signals intent to replace Powell over policy differences. Senate confirmation requires a majority vote, now feasible with Republican control post-election, but no hearings are scheduled. Key upcoming events include Trump's January 20, 2025 inauguration and potential early cabinet-style announcements, alongside Powell's response to replacement pressure, which could clarify Warsh's path or pivot to alternatives like Scott Bessent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$409,034 交易量
May 15, 2026
5月1日
11%
5月15日
50%
$409,034 交易量
5月1日
$277,584 交易量
11%
5月15日
$131,449 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not formally nominated a successor to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term runs until May 2026, keeping markets focused on speculative candidates like former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh. Warsh, who served from 2006 to 2011 advocating tighter monetary policy amid the financial crisis, has gained traction in recent transition reporting as Trump signals intent to replace Powell over policy differences. Senate confirmation requires a majority vote, now feasible with Republican control post-election, but no hearings are scheduled. Key upcoming events include Trump's January 20, 2025 inauguration and potential early cabinet-style announcements, alongside Powell's response to replacement pressure, which could clarify Warsh's path or pivot to alternatives like Scott Bessent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
交易量
$409,034结束日期
May 15, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not formally nominated a successor to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term runs until May 2026, keeping markets focused on speculative candidates like former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh. Warsh, who served from 2006 to 2011 advocating tighter monetary policy amid the financial crisis, has gained traction in recent transition reporting as Trump signals intent to replace Powell over policy differences. Senate confirmation requires a majority vote, now feasible with Republican control post-election, but no hearings are scheduled. Key upcoming events include Trump's January 20, 2025 inauguration and potential early cabinet-style announcements, alongside Powell's response to replacement pressure, which could clarify Warsh's path or pivot to alternatives like Scott Bessent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$409,034结束日期
May 15, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump has not formally nominated a successor to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term runs until May 2026, keeping markets focused on speculative candidates like former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh. Warsh, who served from 2006 to 2011 advocating tighter monetary policy amid the financial crisis, has gained traction in recent transition reporting as Trump signals intent to replace Powell over policy differences. Senate confirmation requires a majority vote, now feasible with Republican control post-election, but no hearings are scheduled. Key upcoming events include Trump's January 20, 2025 inauguration and potential early cabinet-style announcements, alongside Powell's response to replacement pressure, which could clarify Warsh's path or pivot to alternatives like Scott Bessent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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