**President Donald Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair on March 4 remains stalled in the Senate Banking Committee, with incumbent Jerome Powell's term expiring May 15.** Republican Senator Thom Tillis, despite supporting Warsh, has imposed a hold until the Justice Department drops its criminal probe into Powell over Federal Reserve headquarters renovation costs and testimony—a federal judge quashed related subpoenas on March 11, but DOJ may appeal. As of March 27, this impasse endures amid Iran conflict escalation driving market volatility fears. Senate Democrats like Elizabeth Warren, demanding Warsh's written responses by April 2 on his crisis-era record, heighten scrutiny. Traders eye probe resolution, committee hearing, and full Senate vote timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$410,694 交易量
May 15, 2026
5月1日
10%
5月15日
50%
$410,694 交易量
5月1日
$279,226 交易量
10%
5月15日
$131,468 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Donald Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair on March 4 remains stalled in the Senate Banking Committee, with incumbent Jerome Powell's term expiring May 15.** Republican Senator Thom Tillis, despite supporting Warsh, has imposed a hold until the Justice Department drops its criminal probe into Powell over Federal Reserve headquarters renovation costs and testimony—a federal judge quashed related subpoenas on March 11, but DOJ may appeal. As of March 27, this impasse endures amid Iran conflict escalation driving market volatility fears. Senate Democrats like Elizabeth Warren, demanding Warsh's written responses by April 2 on his crisis-era record, heighten scrutiny. Traders eye probe resolution, committee hearing, and full Senate vote timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
交易量
$410,694结束日期
May 15, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Donald Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair on March 4 remains stalled in the Senate Banking Committee, with incumbent Jerome Powell's term expiring May 15.** Republican Senator Thom Tillis, despite supporting Warsh, has imposed a hold until the Justice Department drops its criminal probe into Powell over Federal Reserve headquarters renovation costs and testimony—a federal judge quashed related subpoenas on March 11, but DOJ may appeal. As of March 27, this impasse endures amid Iran conflict escalation driving market volatility fears. Senate Democrats like Elizabeth Warren, demanding Warsh's written responses by April 2 on his crisis-era record, heighten scrutiny. Traders eye probe resolution, committee hearing, and full Senate vote timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$410,694结束日期
May 15, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**President Donald Trump's formal nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair on March 4 remains stalled in the Senate Banking Committee, with incumbent Jerome Powell's term expiring May 15.** Republican Senator Thom Tillis, despite supporting Warsh, has imposed a hold until the Justice Department drops its criminal probe into Powell over Federal Reserve headquarters renovation costs and testimony—a federal judge quashed related subpoenas on March 11, but DOJ may appeal. As of March 27, this impasse endures amid Iran conflict escalation driving market volatility fears. Senate Democrats like Elizabeth Warren, demanding Warsh's written responses by April 2 on his crisis-era record, heighten scrutiny. Traders eye probe resolution, committee hearing, and full Senate vote timelines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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