Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven primarily by the FOMC's April 29, 2026, decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% for a third straight meeting amid resilient economic indicators. Q1 real GDP expanded 2.0% annualized, unemployment held near 4.4%, and core inflation remains elevated from geopolitical tensions pushing oil above $109 per barrel, signaling no acute crisis like a sharp jobs downturn or financial turmoil that historically prompts unscheduled action. Fed projections still envision one cut in 2026 via regular channels, aligning with higher-for-longer sentiment; watch June FOMC and May jobs data for shifts, though barriers to emergency moves remain high absent severe shocks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$103,650 交易量
$103,650 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$103,650 交易量
$103,650 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven primarily by the FOMC's April 29, 2026, decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% for a third straight meeting amid resilient economic indicators. Q1 real GDP expanded 2.0% annualized, unemployment held near 4.4%, and core inflation remains elevated from geopolitical tensions pushing oil above $109 per barrel, signaling no acute crisis like a sharp jobs downturn or financial turmoil that historically prompts unscheduled action. Fed projections still envision one cut in 2026 via regular channels, aligning with higher-for-longer sentiment; watch June FOMC and May jobs data for shifts, though barriers to emergency moves remain high absent severe shocks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$103,650结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven primarily by the FOMC's April 29, 2026, decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% for a third straight meeting amid resilient economic indicators. Q1 real GDP expanded 2.0% annualized, unemployment held near 4.4%, and core inflation remains elevated from geopolitical tensions pushing oil above $109 per barrel, signaling no acute crisis like a sharp jobs downturn or financial turmoil that historically prompts unscheduled action. Fed projections still envision one cut in 2026 via regular channels, aligning with higher-for-longer sentiment; watch June FOMC and May jobs data for shifts, though barriers to emergency moves remain high absent severe shocks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
交易量
$103,650结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 89% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven primarily by the FOMC's April 29, 2026, decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% for a third straight meeting amid resilient economic indicators. Q1 real GDP expanded 2.0% annualized, unemployment held near 4.4%, and core inflation remains elevated from geopolitical tensions pushing oil above $109 per barrel, signaling no acute crisis like a sharp jobs downturn or financial turmoil that historically prompts unscheduled action. Fed projections still envision one cut in 2026 via regular channels, aligning with higher-for-longer sentiment; watch June FOMC and May jobs data for shifts, though barriers to emergency moves remain high absent severe shocks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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