Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 78.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, anchored by robust U.S. economic data signaling no imminent crisis. September consumer price index (CPI) increased 2.4% year-over-year—nearing the Fed's 2% target—while October nonfarm payrolls surged 254,000, holding unemployment at 4.1% and easing recession risks that historically trigger intermeeting cuts, as in 2020 or 2008. Fed Chair Powell's October remarks reinforce a gradual, data-dependent path via scheduled FOMC meetings, with markets pricing a December 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate. Key catalysts ahead include November 13 CPI and December 18 FOMC, where persistent stability would further entrench the "no" odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$65,325 交易量
$65,325 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
是
$65,325 交易量
$65,325 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 78.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, anchored by robust U.S. economic data signaling no imminent crisis. September consumer price index (CPI) increased 2.4% year-over-year—nearing the Fed's 2% target—while October nonfarm payrolls surged 254,000, holding unemployment at 4.1% and easing recession risks that historically trigger intermeeting cuts, as in 2020 or 2008. Fed Chair Powell's October remarks reinforce a gradual, data-dependent path via scheduled FOMC meetings, with markets pricing a December 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate. Key catalysts ahead include November 13 CPI and December 18 FOMC, where persistent stability would further entrench the "no" odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$65,325结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 78.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, anchored by robust U.S. economic data signaling no imminent crisis. September consumer price index (CPI) increased 2.4% year-over-year—nearing the Fed's 2% target—while October nonfarm payrolls surged 254,000, holding unemployment at 4.1% and easing recession risks that historically trigger intermeeting cuts, as in 2020 or 2008. Fed Chair Powell's October remarks reinforce a gradual, data-dependent path via scheduled FOMC meetings, with markets pricing a December 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate. Key catalysts ahead include November 13 CPI and December 18 FOMC, where persistent stability would further entrench the "no" odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
交易量
$65,325结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 78.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, anchored by robust U.S. economic data signaling no imminent crisis. September consumer price index (CPI) increased 2.4% year-over-year—nearing the Fed's 2% target—while October nonfarm payrolls surged 254,000, holding unemployment at 4.1% and easing recession risks that historically trigger intermeeting cuts, as in 2020 or 2008. Fed Chair Powell's October remarks reinforce a gradual, data-dependent path via scheduled FOMC meetings, with markets pricing a December 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate. Key catalysts ahead include November 13 CPI and December 18 FOMC, where persistent stability would further entrench the "no" odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题