Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.4% implied probability to Apple remaining the third-largest company by market capitalization at May 31, driven by its current $4.38 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA ($5.71 trillion) and Alphabet ($4.77 trillion), yet separated by a $1.35 trillion gap from Microsoft ($3.03 trillion) in fourth place. Recent trading reinforces this positioning: NVIDIA surged 4.41% amid AI demand, Alphabet gained 1.28% on strong cloud growth, and Apple held steady at +0.11%, widening gaps to lower challengers like Amazon and Broadcom. With two weeks to resolution, the hierarchy appears resilient absent extreme volatility. Realistic challenges include Apple rallying ~8-10% relative to Alphabet to claim second (elevating Alphabet to third at 2.6% odds) or NVIDIA's impending fiscal Q1 earnings sparking a multi-trillion shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Apple 96.4%
Alphabet 2.7%
NVIDIA 1.1%
Microsoft <1%
$121,384 交易量
$121,384 交易量

Apple
96%

Alphabet
3%

NVIDIA
1%

Microsoft
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Broadcom
<1%

Tesla
<1%
Apple 96.4%
Alphabet 2.7%
NVIDIA 1.1%
Microsoft <1%
$121,384 交易量
$121,384 交易量

Apple
96%

Alphabet
3%

NVIDIA
1%

Microsoft
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Broadcom
<1%

Tesla
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Apr 17, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.4% implied probability to Apple remaining the third-largest company by market capitalization at May 31, driven by its current $4.38 trillion valuation—firmly behind NVIDIA ($5.71 trillion) and Alphabet ($4.77 trillion), yet separated by a $1.35 trillion gap from Microsoft ($3.03 trillion) in fourth place. Recent trading reinforces this positioning: NVIDIA surged 4.41% amid AI demand, Alphabet gained 1.28% on strong cloud growth, and Apple held steady at +0.11%, widening gaps to lower challengers like Amazon and Broadcom. With two weeks to resolution, the hierarchy appears resilient absent extreme volatility. Realistic challenges include Apple rallying ~8-10% relative to Alphabet to claim second (elevating Alphabet to third at 2.6% odds) or NVIDIA's impending fiscal Q1 earnings sparking a multi-trillion shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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