Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic 100.0%
xAI <1%
字节跳动 <1%
百度 <1%
$266,154 交易量
$266,154 交易量
2026-04-30
xAI
否
字节跳动
否
百度
否
OpenAI
否
阿里巴巴
否
Moonshot
否
DeepSeek
否
Mistral
否
美团
否
Anthropic
是
谷歌
否
亚马逊
否
Z.ai
否
Anthropic 100.0%
xAI <1%
字节跳动 <1%
百度 <1%
$266,154 交易量
$266,154 交易量
2026-04-30
xAI
$10,586 交易量
否
字节跳动
$10,834 交易量
否
百度
$10,999 交易量
否
OpenAI
$51,753 交易量
否
阿里巴巴
$15,388 交易量
否
Moonshot
$24,635 交易量
否
DeepSeek
$28,614 交易量
否
Mistral
$9,907 交易量
否
美团
$9,170 交易量
否
Anthropic
$48,331 交易量
是
谷歌
$12,506 交易量
否
亚马逊
$10,425 交易量
否
Z.ai
$23,007 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
交易量
$266,154结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$266,154结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 has solidified trader consensus at near-certainty for the top coding AI model as of April 30, driven by its mid-April launch that propelled it to #1 on key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (leading with 76.8%+ scores) and Arena's Code Arena (37-point jump over prior versions, 130-point edge over rivals like GPT-5.4). This large language model excels in agentic coding, resolving complex GitHub issues and building real-world apps with superior reasoning, outpacing competitors from OpenAI, Google, and others despite recent GPT-5.5 challenges in agentic tasks. Polymarket odds reflect skin-in-the-game validation of these verified results. Realistic shifts could arise from last-minute benchmark updates or surprise releases before resolution, though none have materialized in the final days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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