Anthropic's freshly released Claude Opus 4.7—boasting superior software engineering, vision processing, and instruction-following—has propelled it to the top of the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard just hours ago, anchoring trader sentiment at a 51.5% implied probability for leading the Style Control On category by June 30. This builds on Anthropic's aggressive 2026 cadence, with Opus and Sonnet 4.6 dominating coding and agentic benchmarks ahead of Gemini 3.1 Pro (Google at 22.5%) and open-weight challengers like Z.AI's GLM-5.1 (10.4%), which excels in design but trails closed frontier models. Recent leaderboard shifts highlight open-source gains, yet traders anticipate pre-deadline releases from OpenAI or xAI could disrupt the hierarchy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic 52%
谷歌 23%
Z.ai 10.4%
xAI 5.1%
$1,284,308 交易量
$1,284,308 交易量
2026-06-30
Anthropic
52%
谷歌
23%
Z.ai
10%
xAI
5%
OpenAI
5%
美团
2%
DeepSeek
1%
阿里巴巴
1%
Moonshot
<1%
微软
<1%
亚马逊
<1%
百度
<1%
字节跳动
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meta
<1%
Anthropic 52%
谷歌 23%
Z.ai 10.4%
xAI 5.1%
$1,284,308 交易量
$1,284,308 交易量
2026-06-30
Anthropic
$20,609 交易量
52%
谷歌
$12,132 交易量
23%
Z.ai
$396,542 交易量
10%
xAI
$9,668 交易量
5%
OpenAI
$44,956 交易量
5%
美团
$225,859 交易量
2%
DeepSeek
$179,649 交易量
1%
阿里巴巴
$128,967 交易量
1%
Moonshot
$198,663 交易量
<1%
微软
$2,575 交易量
<1%
亚马逊
$6,929 交易量
<1%
百度
$3,188 交易量
<1%
字节跳动
$5,598 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$46,299 交易量
<1%
Meta
$2,675 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's freshly released Claude Opus 4.7—boasting superior software engineering, vision processing, and instruction-following—has propelled it to the top of the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard just hours ago, anchoring trader sentiment at a 51.5% implied probability for leading the Style Control On category by June 30. This builds on Anthropic's aggressive 2026 cadence, with Opus and Sonnet 4.6 dominating coding and agentic benchmarks ahead of Gemini 3.1 Pro (Google at 22.5%) and open-weight challengers like Z.AI's GLM-5.1 (10.4%), which excels in design but trails closed frontier models. Recent leaderboard shifts highlight open-source gains, yet traders anticipate pre-deadline releases from OpenAI or xAI could disrupt the hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市场开放时间： Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
交易量
$1,284,308结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's freshly released Claude Opus 4.7—boasting superior software engineering, vision processing, and instruction-following—has propelled it to the top of the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard just hours ago, anchoring trader sentiment at a 51.5% implied probability for leading the Style Control On category by June 30. This builds on Anthropic's aggressive 2026 cadence, with Opus and Sonnet 4.6 dominating coding and agentic benchmarks ahead of Gemini 3.1 Pro (Google at 22.5%) and open-weight challengers like Z.AI's GLM-5.1 (10.4%), which excels in design but trails closed frontier models. Recent leaderboard shifts highlight open-source gains, yet traders anticipate pre-deadline releases from OpenAI or xAI could disrupt the hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$1,284,308结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic's freshly released Claude Opus 4.7—boasting superior software engineering, vision processing, and instruction-following—has propelled it to the top of the LMArena Chatbot Arena leaderboard just hours ago, anchoring trader sentiment at a 51.5% implied probability for leading the Style Control On category by June 30. This builds on Anthropic's aggressive 2026 cadence, with Opus and Sonnet 4.6 dominating coding and agentic benchmarks ahead of Gemini 3.1 Pro (Google at 22.5%) and open-weight challengers like Z.AI's GLM-5.1 (10.4%), which excels in design but trails closed frontier models. Recent leaderboard shifts highlight open-source gains, yet traders anticipate pre-deadline releases from OpenAI or xAI could disrupt the hierarchy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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