Market icon

幸存者50获胜者

Market icon

幸存者50获胜者

奥布里·布拉科 84%

Cirie Fields 10.1%

Rizo Velovic 2.1%

乔·亨特 <1%

Polymarket

$899,219 交易量

奥布里·布拉科 84%

Cirie Fields 10.1%

Rizo Velovic 2.1%

乔·亨特 <1%

Polymarket

$899,219 交易量

奥布里·布拉科

$114,988 交易量

84%

Cirie Fields

$31,838 交易量

10%

Rizo Velovic

$72,622 交易量

2%

乔·亨特

$59,936 交易量

1%

乔纳森·杨

$38,059 交易量

1%

Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick

$30,972 交易量

1%

奥兹·卢斯特

$50,804 交易量

<1%

蒂凡尼·妮可·欧文

$18,001 交易量

<1%

迪·瓦拉达雷斯

$62,874 交易量

<1%

查理·戴维斯

$39,553 交易量

<1%

克里斯蒂安·胡比茨基

$55,141 交易量

<1%

本杰明“教练”韦德

$22,913 交易量

<1%

艾米丽·弗利潘

$23,848 交易量

<1%

詹娜·刘易斯-多尔蒂

$28,340 交易量

<1%

Colby Donaldson

$24,928 交易量

<1%

迈克·怀特

$48,585 交易量

<1%

Angelina Keeley

$17,122 交易量

<1%

吉纳维芙·穆沙卢克

$22,600 交易量

<1%

卡米拉·卡西吉苏

$35,355 交易量

<1%

Quintavius "Q" Burdette

$28,470 交易量

<1%

Chrissy Hofbeck

$25,002 交易量

<1%

Rick Devens

$23,593 交易量

<1%

萨凡娜·路易

$23,676 交易量

<1%

凯尔·弗雷泽

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Aubry Bracco at 83.5% implied probability to win Survivor 50, driven by her survival through the chaotic post-merge phase, including Episode 6's historic "Blood Moon" triple elimination that ousted her top rival Genevieve Mushaluk alongside Kamilla Karthigesu and Colby Donaldson. Despite a perceived idol blunder in Episode 7—where she claimed to "forget" playing her Boomerang Idol—and Dee Valladares' boot, Aubry holds a key advantage with allies like Christian Hubicki and Rick Devens amid fracturing alliances. Cirie Fields trails at 10.5% on her strategic bonds with Ozzy Lusth and Rizo Velovic (2.1%), leveraging legend status, but unpredictable Tribal Councils and fan-voted final four twists keep upsets viable with 13 contestants left.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
交易量
$899,219
结束日期
2026-05-20
市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Aubry Bracco at 83.5% implied probability to win Survivor 50, driven by her survival through the chaotic post-merge phase, including Episode 6's historic "Blood Moon" triple elimination that ousted her top rival Genevieve Mushaluk alongside Kamilla Karthigesu and Colby Donaldson. Despite a perceived idol blunder in Episode 7—where she claimed to "forget" playing her Boomerang Idol—and Dee Valladares' boot, Aubry holds a key advantage with allies like Christian Hubicki and Rick Devens amid fracturing alliances. Cirie Fields trails at 10.5% on her strategic bonds with Ozzy Lusth and Rizo Velovic (2.1%), leveraging legend status, but unpredictable Tribal Councils and fan-voted final four twists keep upsets viable with 13 contestants left.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
交易量
$899,219
结束日期
2026-05-20
市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"幸存者50获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 24 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"奥布里·布拉科"，概率为 84%，其次是"Cirie Fields"，概率为 10%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 84¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 84%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"幸存者50获胜者"已产生 $899.2K 的总交易量（自Jan 16, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"幸存者50获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 24 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"幸存者50获胜者"的当前领先者是"奥布里·布拉科"，概率为 84%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 84%。紧随其后的结果是"Cirie Fields"，概率为 10%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"幸存者50获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。