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icon for 幸存者50获胜者

幸存者50获胜者

icon for 幸存者50获胜者

幸存者50获胜者

奥布里·布拉科 97.8%

乔·亨特 1.0%

蒂凡尼·妮可·欧文 <1%

乔纳森·杨 <1%

Polymarket

$1,842,273 交易量

奥布里·布拉科 97.8%

乔·亨特 1.0%

蒂凡尼·妮可·欧文 <1%

乔纳森·杨 <1%

Polymarket

$1,842,273 交易量

奥布里·布拉科

$408,646 交易量

98%

乔·亨特

$111,112 交易量

1%

蒂凡尼·妮可·欧文

$48,798 交易量

1%

乔纳森·杨

$103,074 交易量

1%

Rizo Velovic

$116,835 交易量

<1%

艾米丽·弗利潘

$45,757 交易量

<1%

詹娜·刘易斯-多尔蒂

$38,239 交易量

<1%

Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick

$60,424 交易量

<1%

Colby Donaldson

$45,358 交易量

<1%

迈克·怀特

$67,431 交易量

<1%

Angelina Keeley

$34,683 交易量

<1%

查理·戴维斯

$57,219 交易量

<1%

吉纳维芙·穆沙卢克

$31,314 交易量

<1%

卡米拉·卡西吉苏

$46,418 交易量

<1%

Cirie Fields

$95,053 交易量

<1%

本杰明“教练”韦德

$34,973 交易量

<1%

奥兹·卢斯特

$99,211 交易量

<1%

Quintavius "Q" Burdette

$54,941 交易量

<1%

Chrissy Hofbeck

$37,649 交易量

<1%

克里斯蒂安·胡比茨基

$76,841 交易量

<1%

迪·瓦拉达雷斯

$81,969 交易量

<1%

Rick Devens

$94,827 交易量

<1%

凯尔·弗雷泽

$10,057 交易量

<1%

萨凡娜·路易

$41,442 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Aubry Bracco’s commanding 97.8% implied probability reflects her emergence as the clear frontrunner in Survivor 50’s endgame, driven by a consistent winner’s edit and strong social positioning across recent episodes. As a multi-season veteran returning for the milestone “In the Hands of the Fans” season, she has capitalized on strategic alliances and key immunity wins, with late-game confessionals and boots crediting her gameplay while sidelining rivals like Jonathan Young and Rizo Velovic. Historical precedent for returnee seasons shows that players with redemption arcs and jury-friendly narratives often consolidate votes at Final Tribal, reinforcing trader consensus. An upset remains possible only if the live finale jury on May 20 delivers an unexpected bitter split or a last-minute twist elevates a low-profile contender, though current momentum makes such shifts highly improbable.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
交易量
$1,842,273
结束日期
2026-05-20
市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Aubry Bracco’s commanding 97.8% implied probability reflects her emergence as the clear frontrunner in Survivor 50’s endgame, driven by a consistent winner’s edit and strong social positioning across recent episodes. As a multi-season veteran returning for the milestone “In the Hands of the Fans” season, she has capitalized on strategic alliances and key immunity wins, with late-game confessionals and boots crediting her gameplay while sidelining rivals like Jonathan Young and Rizo Velovic. Historical precedent for returnee seasons shows that players with redemption arcs and jury-friendly narratives often consolidate votes at Final Tribal, reinforcing trader consensus. An upset remains possible only if the live finale jury on May 20 delivers an unexpected bitter split or a last-minute twist elevates a low-profile contender, though current momentum makes such shifts highly improbable.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
交易量
$1,842,273
结束日期
2026-05-20
市场开放时间
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"幸存者50获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 24 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"奥布里·布拉科"，概率为 98%，其次是"乔·亨特"，概率为 1%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 98¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"幸存者50获胜者"已产生 $1.8 million 的总交易量（自Jan 16, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"幸存者50获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 24 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"幸存者50获胜者"的当前领先者是"奥布里·布拉科"，概率为 98%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 98%。紧随其后的结果是"乔·亨特"，概率为 1%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"幸存者50获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。