Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s per week recently, creating tight clustering around the 180-219 ranges as the primary driver of current odds. Traders track daily volume against historical patterns, noting how product updates like FSD enhancements, regulatory news, or viral threads can spike activity without pushing totals into outlier territory. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether the coming week will feature routine commentary or accelerated engagement tied to SpaceX or Tesla milestones, with no single catalyst yet dominating the narrative. Market-implied probabilities treat these mid-range outcomes as the baseline consensus given recent consistency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于240-259 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,917,475 交易量
$5,917,475 交易量
2026-06-26
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
Yes
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
240-259 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,917,475 交易量
$5,917,475 交易量
2026-06-26
<20
$14,481 交易量
No
20-39
$11,373 交易量
No
40-59
$21,573 交易量
No
60-79
$104,805 交易量
No
80-99
$110,677 交易量
No
100-119
$111,554 交易量
No
120-139
$141,137 交易量
No
140-159
$122,678 交易量
No
160-179
$259,345 交易量
No
180-199
$364,568 交易量
No
200-219
$426,668 交易量
No
220-239
$624,429 交易量
No
240-259
$442,528 交易量
Yes
260-279
$582,437 交易量
No
280-299
$509,226 交易量
No
300-319
$391,631 交易量
No
320-339
$303,933 交易量
No
340-359
$251,655 交易量
No
360-379
$213,474 交易量
No
380-399
$155,461 交易量
No
400-419
$153,618 交易量
No
420-439
$109,576 交易量
No
440-459
$143,100 交易量
No
460-479
$72,790 交易量
No
480-499
$72,970 交易量
No
500+
$201,787 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s per week recently, creating tight clustering around the 180-219 ranges as the primary driver of current odds. Traders track daily volume against historical patterns, noting how product updates like FSD enhancements, regulatory news, or viral threads can spike activity without pushing totals into outlier territory. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether the coming week will feature routine commentary or accelerated engagement tied to SpaceX or Tesla milestones, with no single catalyst yet dominating the narrative. Market-implied probabilities treat these mid-range outcomes as the baseline consensus given recent consistency.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$5,917,475结束日期
2026-06-26市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s per week recently, creating tight clustering around the 180-219 ranges as the primary driver of current odds. Traders track daily volume against historical patterns, noting how product updates like FSD enhancements, regulatory news, or viral threads can spike activity without pushing totals into outlier territory. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether the coming week will feature routine commentary or accelerated engagement tied to SpaceX or Tesla milestones, with no single catalyst yet dominating the narrative. Market-implied probabilities treat these mid-range outcomes as the baseline consensus given recent consistency.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$5,917,475结束日期
2026-06-26市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s per week recently, creating tight clustering around the 180-219 ranges as the primary driver of current odds. Traders track daily volume against historical patterns, noting how product updates like FSD enhancements, regulatory news, or viral threads can spike activity without pushing totals into outlier territory. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether the coming week will feature routine commentary or accelerated engagement tied to SpaceX or Tesla milestones, with no single catalyst yet dominating the narrative. Market-implied probabilities treat these mid-range outcomes as the baseline consensus given recent consistency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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