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icon for 特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?

特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?

icon for 特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?

特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?

$1,742,079 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$1,742,079 交易量

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump's established pattern of direct public criticism continues to shape trader views on date-specific insult markets.** As president in June 2026, he has repeatedly targeted foreign leaders during the ongoing G7 summit in France, including references to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney as “Governor” amid trade disputes and dismissals of UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer as lacking Churchill-like resolve over Iran policy differences. Similar exchanges have occurred with French President Emmanuel Macron and in Oval Office or press settings, where Trump has labeled journalists such as CNN’s Kaitlan Collins and NBC’s Kristen Welker in personal terms. These incidents align with his documented approach on social platforms and in public remarks. Markets reflect this baseline frequency, with traders monitoring scheduled press conferences, summit sessions, and social media activity for resolution triggers on specific dates. Historical volume on related Polymarket contracts underscores consistent engagement around such events.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,742,079
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trump's established pattern of direct public criticism continues to shape trader views on date-specific insult markets.** As president in June 2026, he has repeatedly targeted foreign leaders during the ongoing G7 summit in France, including references to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney as “Governor” amid trade disputes and dismissals of UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer as lacking Churchill-like resolve over Iran policy differences. Similar exchanges have occurred with French President Emmanuel Macron and in Oval Office or press settings, where Trump has labeled journalists such as CNN’s Kaitlan Collins and NBC’s Kristen Welker in personal terms. These incidents align with his documented approach on social platforms and in public remarks. Markets reflect this baseline frequency, with traders monitoring scheduled press conferences, summit sessions, and social media activity for resolution triggers on specific dates. Historical volume on related Polymarket contracts underscores consistent engagement around such events.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,742,079
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 29 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"6月2日",概率为 100%,其次是"6月3日",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?"已产生 $1.7 million 的总交易量(自Jun 1, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 29 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?"的当前领先者是"6月2日",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"6月3日",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普是否会在……上公开侮辱某人?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。