赚取4% 预测与赔率

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Polymarket currently hosts 17 active markets for 赚取4% that lets you track or trade on predictions like "2028年民主党总统候选人". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "中国会在2026年底入侵台湾吗？". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "2028年民主党总统候选人," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "2028年民主党总统候选人," where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to 加文·纽瑟姆. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket's accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for 赚取4% shift in real-time. It's a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like "2028年民主党总统候选人" without ever needing to place a trade.

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Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the "Rules" section on any individual market page like "2028年民主党总统候选人," to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.