President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current constitutional term runs through 2028, and his Justice and Development Party (AKP) holds a parliamentary majority that underpins institutional stability. Recent months have seen intensified consolidation of power, including the detention and indictment of leading opposition figures such as Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, alongside ongoing negotiations with the PKK that have not altered the domestic political balance. Speculation centers on potential early elections or constitutional adjustments ahead of 2028 rather than any imminent departure, with no verified health developments or institutional challenges forcing an exit before the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign an 89.5 percent implied probability to the “No” outcome, reflecting the absence of near-term catalysts that could dislodge the incumbent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$348,914 交易量
$348,914 交易量
2026-12-31
赚 4% 收益
是
$348,914 交易量
$348,914 交易量
2026-12-31
赚 4% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current constitutional term runs through 2028, and his Justice and Development Party (AKP) holds a parliamentary majority that underpins institutional stability. Recent months have seen intensified consolidation of power, including the detention and indictment of leading opposition figures such as Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, alongside ongoing negotiations with the PKK that have not altered the domestic political balance. Speculation centers on potential early elections or constitutional adjustments ahead of 2028 rather than any imminent departure, with no verified health developments or institutional challenges forcing an exit before the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign an 89.5 percent implied probability to the “No” outcome, reflecting the absence of near-term catalysts that could dislodge the incumbent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
交易量
$348,914结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current constitutional term runs through 2028, and his Justice and Development Party (AKP) holds a parliamentary majority that underpins institutional stability. Recent months have seen intensified consolidation of power, including the detention and indictment of leading opposition figures such as Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, alongside ongoing negotiations with the PKK that have not altered the domestic political balance. Speculation centers on potential early elections or constitutional adjustments ahead of 2028 rather than any imminent departure, with no verified health developments or institutional challenges forcing an exit before the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign an 89.5 percent implied probability to the “No” outcome, reflecting the absence of near-term catalysts that could dislodge the incumbent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$348,914结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current constitutional term runs through 2028, and his Justice and Development Party (AKP) holds a parliamentary majority that underpins institutional stability. Recent months have seen intensified consolidation of power, including the detention and indictment of leading opposition figures such as Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, alongside ongoing negotiations with the PKK that have not altered the domestic political balance. Speculation centers on potential early elections or constitutional adjustments ahead of 2028 rather than any imminent departure, with no verified health developments or institutional challenges forcing an exit before the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign an 89.5 percent implied probability to the “No” outcome, reflecting the absence of near-term catalysts that could dislodge the incumbent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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