Turkey’s constitution limits President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to his current term ending no earlier than 2028, with the next scheduled presidential election no later than May 2028 and no national vote, impeachment process, or formal removal mechanism active before December 31, 2026. Recent legal actions, including the 2025 arrest of leading opposition figure Ekrem İmamoğlu and 2026 court rulings ousting CHP leadership, have consolidated the ruling AKP’s position without triggering succession pressures or snap elections. Erdoğan has publicly indicated no intent to seek another term, while unverified reports of health concerns have not produced confirmed institutional crises or early-exit scenarios. Trader consensus on low probability of departure by the deadline reflects this structural timeline and absence of near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$505,872 交易量
$505,872 交易量
2026-12-31
赚 3.25% 收益
是
$505,872 交易量
$505,872 交易量
2026-12-31
赚 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s constitution limits President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to his current term ending no earlier than 2028, with the next scheduled presidential election no later than May 2028 and no national vote, impeachment process, or formal removal mechanism active before December 31, 2026. Recent legal actions, including the 2025 arrest of leading opposition figure Ekrem İmamoğlu and 2026 court rulings ousting CHP leadership, have consolidated the ruling AKP’s position without triggering succession pressures or snap elections. Erdoğan has publicly indicated no intent to seek another term, while unverified reports of health concerns have not produced confirmed institutional crises or early-exit scenarios. Trader consensus on low probability of departure by the deadline reflects this structural timeline and absence of near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
交易量
$505,872结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s constitution limits President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to his current term ending no earlier than 2028, with the next scheduled presidential election no later than May 2028 and no national vote, impeachment process, or formal removal mechanism active before December 31, 2026. Recent legal actions, including the 2025 arrest of leading opposition figure Ekrem İmamoğlu and 2026 court rulings ousting CHP leadership, have consolidated the ruling AKP’s position without triggering succession pressures or snap elections. Erdoğan has publicly indicated no intent to seek another term, while unverified reports of health concerns have not produced confirmed institutional crises or early-exit scenarios. Trader consensus on low probability of departure by the deadline reflects this structural timeline and absence of near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$505,874结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkey’s constitution limits President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan to his current term ending no earlier than 2028, with the next scheduled presidential election no later than May 2028 and no national vote, impeachment process, or formal removal mechanism active before December 31, 2026. Recent legal actions, including the 2025 arrest of leading opposition figure Ekrem İmamoğlu and 2026 court rulings ousting CHP leadership, have consolidated the ruling AKP’s position without triggering succession pressures or snap elections. Erdoğan has publicly indicated no intent to seek another term, while unverified reports of health concerns have not produced confirmed institutional crises or early-exit scenarios. Trader consensus on low probability of departure by the deadline reflects this structural timeline and absence of near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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