Trader consensus on the 2026 Hungary parliamentary election turnout clusters tightly around 71–77%, reflecting historical highs of 70–73% in 2018 and 2022 amid a fiercely contested race between incumbent Fidesz and surging opposition Tisza party. Recent polls from Medián and Republikon, conducted in late March, show 89% "sure to vote" willingness and "extremely high" enthusiasm, fueled by Tisza's dominance among under-30 voters (over 60%) and Péter Magyar's challenge to Viktor Orbán after 16 years in power. Fidesz counters with a reliable rural and older base, but split polling—some favoring each side—keeps expectations anchored near past levels. With the April 12 vote eight days away, final mobilization drives, youth turnout realization, or last-minute scandals could push probabilities toward higher or lower bands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于71–74% 33%
74–77% 31%
68–71% 16%
77–80% 15%
$107,074 交易量
$107,074 交易量
2026-04-12
低于65%
<1%
65–68%
<1%
68–71%
16%
71–74%
33%
74–77%
31%
77–80%
15%
80%以上
6%
71–74% 33%
74–77% 31%
68–71% 16%
77–80% 15%
$107,074 交易量
$107,074 交易量
2026-04-12
低于65%
$3,625 交易量
<1%
65–68%
$5,118 交易量
<1%
68–71%
$61,730 交易量
16%
71–74%
$10,403 交易量
33%
74–77%
$7,448 交易量
31%
77–80%
$11,356 交易量
15%
80%以上
$7,394 交易量
6%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus on the 2026 Hungary parliamentary election turnout clusters tightly around 71–77%, reflecting historical highs of 70–73% in 2018 and 2022 amid a fiercely contested race between incumbent Fidesz and surging opposition Tisza party. Recent polls from Medián and Republikon, conducted in late March, show 89% "sure to vote" willingness and "extremely high" enthusiasm, fueled by Tisza's dominance among under-30 voters (over 60%) and Péter Magyar's challenge to Viktor Orbán after 16 years in power. Fidesz counters with a reliable rural and older base, but split polling—some favoring each side—keeps expectations anchored near past levels. With the April 12 vote eight days away, final mobilization drives, youth turnout realization, or last-minute scandals could push probabilities toward higher or lower bands.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
市场开放时间： Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
交易量
$107,074结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus on the 2026 Hungary parliamentary election turnout clusters tightly around 71–77%, reflecting historical highs of 70–73% in 2018 and 2022 amid a fiercely contested race between incumbent Fidesz and surging opposition Tisza party. Recent polls from Medián and Republikon, conducted in late March, show 89% "sure to vote" willingness and "extremely high" enthusiasm, fueled by Tisza's dominance among under-30 voters (over 60%) and Péter Magyar's challenge to Viktor Orbán after 16 years in power. Fidesz counters with a reliable rural and older base, but split polling—some favoring each side—keeps expectations anchored near past levels. With the April 12 vote eight days away, final mobilization drives, youth turnout realization, or last-minute scandals could push probabilities toward higher or lower bands.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$107,074结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 2026 Hungary parliamentary election turnout clusters tightly around 71–77%, reflecting historical highs of 70–73% in 2018 and 2022 amid a fiercely contested race between incumbent Fidesz and surging opposition Tisza party. Recent polls from Medián and Republikon, conducted in late March, show 89% "sure to vote" willingness and "extremely high" enthusiasm, fueled by Tisza's dominance among under-30 voters (over 60%) and Péter Magyar's challenge to Viktor Orbán after 16 years in power. Fidesz counters with a reliable rural and older base, but split polling—some favoring each side—keeps expectations anchored near past levels. With the April 12 vote eight days away, final mobilization drives, youth turnout realization, or last-minute scandals could push probabilities toward higher or lower bands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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