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政治·文化

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

icon for Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?
政治·文化

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Ended: 6月 30

7月 31

Ended: 6月 30

7月 31

$2,989,300 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$2,989,300 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Pam Bondi

Pam Bondi

$6,780 交易量

No

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$1,928,603 交易量

Yes

icon for Nicolás Maduro

Nicolás Maduro

$34,462 交易量

Yes

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$14,504 交易量

No

icon for Norah O'Donnell

Norah O'Donnell

$1,011 交易量

No

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$114,824 交易量

Yes

icon for Megyn Kelly

Megyn Kelly

$1,612 交易量

No

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$125,173 交易量

Yes

icon for Alex Jones

Alex Jones

$2,137 交易量

No

icon for Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

$15,811 交易量

No

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$282,753 交易量

Yes

icon for Keir Starmer

Keir Starmer

$43,878 交易量

Yes

icon for Jimmy Kimmel

Jimmy Kimmel

$182,997 交易量

No

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$16,778 交易量

No

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$54,236 交易量

No

icon for Freidrich Merz

Freidrich Merz

$16,938 交易量

No

icon for Kaitlan Collins

Kaitlan Collins

$1,848 交易量

Yes

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$17,713 交易量

No

icon for Pope Leo XIV

Pope Leo XIV

$25,830 交易量

No

icon for Joe Biden

Joe Biden

$2,400 交易量

Yes

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$17,489 交易量

Yes

icon for Melania Trump

Melania Trump

$8,063 交易量

No

icon for Viktor Orbán

Viktor Orbán

$7,500 交易量

No

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$42,550 交易量

No

icon for Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell

$8,012 交易量

Yes

icon for Emmanuel Macron

Emmanuel Macron

$15,015 交易量

No

icon for Kevin Warsh

Kevin Warsh

$381 交易量

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s pattern of direct public criticism continues to shape trader views on likely targets by June 30. Recent G7 tensions have produced pointed remarks aimed at UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, French President Emmanuel Macron, and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni over trade disputes, Iran policy, and alliance coordination. Separate media encounters, including a June 7 Meet the Press interview, featured sharp exchanges with journalist Kristen Welker and broader attacks on outlets questioning election-related claims. Ongoing military actions and diplomacy involving Iran have also generated statements referencing that country and its leadership. With roughly twelve days remaining, scheduled appearances, interviews, and any escalation in foreign-policy friction remain the main variables that could expand or narrow the set of individuals mentioned by name.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,989,300
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

最终结果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s pattern of direct public criticism continues to shape trader views on likely targets by June 30. Recent G7 tensions have produced pointed remarks aimed at UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, French President Emmanuel Macron, and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni over trade disputes, Iran policy, and alliance coordination. Separate media encounters, including a June 7 Meet the Press interview, featured sharp exchanges with journalist Kristen Welker and broader attacks on outlets questioning election-related claims. Ongoing military actions and diplomacy involving Iran have also generated statements referencing that country and its leadership. With roughly twelve days remaining, scheduled appearances, interviews, and any escalation in foreign-policy friction remain the main variables that could expand or narrow the set of individuals mentioned by name.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,989,300
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 27 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Benjamin Netanyahu"，概率为 100%，其次是"Nicolás Maduro"，概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?"已产生 $3 million 的总交易量（自May 26, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 27 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?"的当前领先者是"Benjamin Netanyahu"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Nicolás Maduro"，概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。