Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 30%, reflecting skepticism over the program's stalled momentum after an initial hype peak. Launched via executive order in late 2025, the $1 million Trump Gold Card visa—offering expedited permanent residency through DHS vetting—drew 70,000 expressions of interest and early claims of $1.3 billion in sales (roughly 1,300 units) by December. However, a March 6 Barron's report highlighted low uptake among wealthy applicants due to stringent background checks, mandatory consular processing abroad, emerging lawsuits challenging its legality versus EB-5 reforms, and competition from cheaper golden visa programs elsewhere. Low-volume outcomes like 1-100 (20%) could consolidate if minor approvals trickle through amid regulatory tweaks, while higher buckets hinge on resolved litigation or streamlined adjudication before year-end; absent catalysts, structural barriers favor minimal activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于0 30%
1-100 19.7%
2.5万-10万 9.3%
101-1k 9.3%
$118,568 交易量
$118,568 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
0
30%
1-100
20%
101-1k
9%
1000-2500
8%
2,500-5,000
8%
5000-10000
7%
1万-2.5万
7%
2.5万-10万
9%
>10万
5%
0 30%
1-100 19.7%
2.5万-10万 9.3%
101-1k 9.3%
$118,568 交易量
$118,568 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
0
$23,853 交易量
30%
1-100
$9,473 交易量
20%
101-1k
$4,777 交易量
9%
1000-2500
$7,225 交易量
8%
2,500-5,000
$4,216 交易量
8%
5000-10000
$4,525 交易量
7%
1万-2.5万
$51,594 交易量
7%
2.5万-10万
$4,096 交易量
9%
>10万
$8,807 交易量
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 30%, reflecting skepticism over the program's stalled momentum after an initial hype peak. Launched via executive order in late 2025, the $1 million Trump Gold Card visa—offering expedited permanent residency through DHS vetting—drew 70,000 expressions of interest and early claims of $1.3 billion in sales (roughly 1,300 units) by December. However, a March 6 Barron's report highlighted low uptake among wealthy applicants due to stringent background checks, mandatory consular processing abroad, emerging lawsuits challenging its legality versus EB-5 reforms, and competition from cheaper golden visa programs elsewhere. Low-volume outcomes like 1-100 (20%) could consolidate if minor approvals trickle through amid regulatory tweaks, while higher buckets hinge on resolved litigation or streamlined adjudication before year-end; absent catalysts, structural barriers favor minimal activity.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
交易量
$118,568结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 30%, reflecting skepticism over the program's stalled momentum after an initial hype peak. Launched via executive order in late 2025, the $1 million Trump Gold Card visa—offering expedited permanent residency through DHS vetting—drew 70,000 expressions of interest and early claims of $1.3 billion in sales (roughly 1,300 units) by December. However, a March 6 Barron's report highlighted low uptake among wealthy applicants due to stringent background checks, mandatory consular processing abroad, emerging lawsuits challenging its legality versus EB-5 reforms, and competition from cheaper golden visa programs elsewhere. Low-volume outcomes like 1-100 (20%) could consolidate if minor approvals trickle through amid regulatory tweaks, while higher buckets hinge on resolved litigation or streamlined adjudication before year-end; absent catalysts, structural barriers favor minimal activity.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$118,568结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 30%, reflecting skepticism over the program's stalled momentum after an initial hype peak. Launched via executive order in late 2025, the $1 million Trump Gold Card visa—offering expedited permanent residency through DHS vetting—drew 70,000 expressions of interest and early claims of $1.3 billion in sales (roughly 1,300 units) by December. However, a March 6 Barron's report highlighted low uptake among wealthy applicants due to stringent background checks, mandatory consular processing abroad, emerging lawsuits challenging its legality versus EB-5 reforms, and competition from cheaper golden visa programs elsewhere. Low-volume outcomes like 1-100 (20%) could consolidate if minor approvals trickle through amid regulatory tweaks, while higher buckets hinge on resolved litigation or streamlined adjudication before year-end; absent catalysts, structural barriers favor minimal activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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