Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,778,621 交易量
2026-03-31
3月15日
否
3月31日
否
4月10日
否
4月11日
是
4月12日
是
4月13日
是
4月14日
是
4月15日
是
4月30日
是
5月31日
是
6月15日
是
6月30日
是
$10,778,621 交易量
3月15日
$245,591 交易量
否
3月31日
$739,420 交易量
否
4月10日
$7,115,645 交易量
否
4月11日
$587,177 交易量
是
4月12日
$70,246 交易量
是
4月13日
$32,638 交易量
是
4月14日
$24,118 交易量
是
4月15日
$719,631 交易量
是
4月30日
$946,176 交易量
是
5月31日
$53,709 交易量
是
6月15日
$46,741 交易量
是
6月30日
$197,530 交易量
是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
交易量
$10,778,621结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,778,621结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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