Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.6% implied probability for President Trump issuing a gold card by March 31, driven by the brief two-month window since his January 20 inauguration and the procedural complexities of launching a new immigration visa program. The proposed gold card—envisioned as a $5 million investment pathway to permanent residency—requires Department of Homeland Security rulemaking, USCIS implementation, and potential congressional input, processes that historically span months amid staffing transitions and competing priorities like border security and deportations. No executive orders, announcements, or agency actions have advanced it in recent weeks, with focus instead on enforcement measures. Only a surprise last-minute directive could shift odds, though structural barriers make this improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$221,573 交易量
$221,573 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$221,573 交易量
$221,573 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.6% implied probability for President Trump issuing a gold card by March 31, driven by the brief two-month window since his January 20 inauguration and the procedural complexities of launching a new immigration visa program. The proposed gold card—envisioned as a $5 million investment pathway to permanent residency—requires Department of Homeland Security rulemaking, USCIS implementation, and potential congressional input, processes that historically span months amid staffing transitions and competing priorities like border security and deportations. No executive orders, announcements, or agency actions have advanced it in recent weeks, with focus instead on enforcement measures. Only a surprise last-minute directive could shift odds, though structural barriers make this improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 11:28 AM ET
交易量
$221,573结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.6% implied probability for President Trump issuing a gold card by March 31, driven by the brief two-month window since his January 20 inauguration and the procedural complexities of launching a new immigration visa program. The proposed gold card—envisioned as a $5 million investment pathway to permanent residency—requires Department of Homeland Security rulemaking, USCIS implementation, and potential congressional input, processes that historically span months amid staffing transitions and competing priorities like border security and deportations. No executive orders, announcements, or agency actions have advanced it in recent weeks, with focus instead on enforcement measures. Only a surprise last-minute directive could shift odds, though structural barriers make this improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first U.S. "Gold Card" visa, is officially issued by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any new visa or pathway to citizenship which is granted as part of a new program created by the Trump Administration after February 26, 2025, which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information form the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$221,573结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.6% implied probability for President Trump issuing a gold card by March 31, driven by the brief two-month window since his January 20 inauguration and the procedural complexities of launching a new immigration visa program. The proposed gold card—envisioned as a $5 million investment pathway to permanent residency—requires Department of Homeland Security rulemaking, USCIS implementation, and potential congressional input, processes that historically span months amid staffing transitions and competing priorities like border security and deportations. No executive orders, announcements, or agency actions have advanced it in recent weeks, with focus instead on enforcement measures. Only a surprise last-minute directive could shift odds, though structural barriers make this improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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