President Trump's abrupt removal of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, 2026, following the March 5 ouster of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem—later reassigned as Special Envoy for the Shield of the Americas—marks the first major Cabinet departures in his second term, fueling expectations of further turnover. These changes come amid reports of a broader Cabinet reset, including discussions around FBI Director Kash Patel's tenure amid congressional scrutiny over agent firings and travel decisions. With senior staff turnover at 29% as of January per Brookings tracking, historical first-term patterns of high churn due to policy clashes and performance pressures persist, while upcoming Senate confirmations for replacements like Todd Blanche at DOJ and ongoing oversight hearings could accelerate additional exits before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$760,645 交易量
2026-12-31
卡什·帕特尔
77%
图尔西·加巴德
67%
克里斯蒂·诺姆
59%
霍华德·卢特尼克
51%
李泽尔丁
49%
汤姆·霍曼
24%
丹·斯卡维诺
39%
皮特·海格塞斯
38%
卡罗琳·利维特
37%
苏西·怀尔斯
34%
约翰·拉特克利夫
28%
罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世
27%
拉塞尔·沃特
17%
大卫·萨克斯
25%
斯科特·贝森特
22%
马尔科·鲁比奥
21%
斯蒂芬·米勒
16%
$760,645 交易量
卡什·帕特尔
$116,325 交易量
77%
图尔西·加巴德
$5,748 交易量
67%
克里斯蒂·诺姆
$83,772 交易量
59%
霍华德·卢特尼克
$32,502 交易量
51%
李泽尔丁
$23,703 交易量
49%
汤姆·霍曼
$33 交易量
24%
丹·斯卡维诺
$0 交易量
39%
皮特·海格塞斯
$7,485 交易量
38%
卡罗琳·利维特
$9,013 交易量
37%
苏西·怀尔斯
$38,990 交易量
34%
约翰·拉特克利夫
$0 交易量
28%
罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世
$63,132 交易量
27%
拉塞尔·沃特
$129 交易量
17%
大卫·萨克斯
$5,891 交易量
25%
斯科特·贝森特
$397 交易量
22%
马尔科·鲁比奥
$2,576 交易量
21%
斯蒂芬·米勒
$495 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.President Trump's abrupt removal of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, 2026, following the March 5 ouster of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem—later reassigned as Special Envoy for the Shield of the Americas—marks the first major Cabinet departures in his second term, fueling expectations of further turnover. These changes come amid reports of a broader Cabinet reset, including discussions around FBI Director Kash Patel's tenure amid congressional scrutiny over agent firings and travel decisions. With senior staff turnover at 29% as of January per Brookings tracking, historical first-term patterns of high churn due to policy clashes and performance pressures persist, while upcoming Senate confirmations for replacements like Todd Blanche at DOJ and ongoing oversight hearings could accelerate additional exits before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
交易量
$760,645结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.President Trump's abrupt removal of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, 2026, following the March 5 ouster of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem—later reassigned as Special Envoy for the Shield of the Americas—marks the first major Cabinet departures in his second term, fueling expectations of further turnover. These changes come amid reports of a broader Cabinet reset, including discussions around FBI Director Kash Patel's tenure amid congressional scrutiny over agent firings and travel decisions. With senior staff turnover at 29% as of January per Brookings tracking, historical first-term patterns of high churn due to policy clashes and performance pressures persist, while upcoming Senate confirmations for replacements like Todd Blanche at DOJ and ongoing oversight hearings could accelerate additional exits before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
交易量
$760,645结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's abrupt removal of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, 2026, following the March 5 ouster of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem—later reassigned as Special Envoy for the Shield of the Americas—marks the first major Cabinet departures in his second term, fueling expectations of further turnover. These changes come amid reports of a broader Cabinet reset, including discussions around FBI Director Kash Patel's tenure amid congressional scrutiny over agent firings and travel decisions. With senior staff turnover at 29% as of January per Brookings tracking, historical first-term patterns of high churn due to policy clashes and performance pressures persist, while upcoming Senate confirmations for replacements like Todd Blanche at DOJ and ongoing oversight hearings could accelerate additional exits before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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