White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's recurring delays of 25-40 minutes to scheduled briefings, often attributed to last-minute meetings with President Trump reviewing news or events, have kept trader consensus tightly clustered around those intervals, with 35+ minutes edging 43% amid 42-43% pricing across 20-35 minute bins. Recent examples include a February 10 briefing that started roughly 40 minutes late while monitoring updates, and earlier sessions like February 5 delayed by press monitoring, underscoring the pattern without recent shifts. This race stays neck-and-neck due to variable but predictable overruns; separation could arise from breaking news or presidential schedule announcements pushing longer waits, or a clear afternoon with no disruptions favoring under 25 minutes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于25 - 30 minutes 43%
20 - 25 minutes 42%
30 - 35 minutes 42%
35+ minutes 42%
<15 minutes
26%
15 - 20 minutes
34%
20 - 25 minutes
42%
25 - 30 minutes
43%
30 - 35 minutes
42%
35+ minutes
42%
25 - 30 minutes 43%
20 - 25 minutes 42%
30 - 35 minutes 42%
35+ minutes 42%
<15 minutes
26%
15 - 20 minutes
34%
20 - 25 minutes
42%
25 - 30 minutes
43%
30 - 35 minutes
42%
35+ minutes
42%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
市场开放时间: Mar 30, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's recurring delays of 25-40 minutes to scheduled briefings, often attributed to last-minute meetings with President Trump reviewing news or events, have kept trader consensus tightly clustered around those intervals, with 35+ minutes edging 43% amid 42-43% pricing across 20-35 minute bins. Recent examples include a February 10 briefing that started roughly 40 minutes late while monitoring updates, and earlier sessions like February 5 delayed by press monitoring, underscoring the pattern without recent shifts. This race stays neck-and-neck due to variable but predictable overruns; separation could arise from breaking news or presidential schedule announcements pushing longer waits, or a clear afternoon with no disruptions favoring under 25 minutes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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