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政治·提及

Who will Trump name in April?

Market icon
政治·提及

Who will Trump name in April?

最新
2026-04-30
Polymarket

$272 交易量

Polymarket

Netanyahu

$99 交易量

96%

Newsom / Newscum

$12 交易量

73%

Delcy

$14 交易量

70%

Kamala

$1 交易量

73%

Ilhan / Omar

$1 交易量

65%

Caine

$5 交易量

68%

Kushner

$1 交易量

73%

Warsh

$3 交易量

70%

Oz

$0 交易量

66%

Maduro

$2 交易量

65%

Zohran / Mamdani

$8 交易量

64%

Homan

$60 交易量

70%

Emmanuel / Macron

$0 交易量

61%

Schumer

$0 交易量

54%

Massie

$0 交易量

53%

Rand Paul

$0 交易量

53%

Warren / Pocahontas

$36 交易量

65%

Gianni / Infantino

$28 交易量

65%

Bush

$0 交易量

48%

Khamenei / Khomeini

$0 交易量

48%

Viktor / Orbán

$0 交易量

48%

Machado

$0 交易量

46%

Bernie

$0 交易量

45%

Paxton

$0 交易量

44%

Leavitt

$0 交易量

44%

Hillary

$0 交易量

43%

Talarico

$0 交易量

42%

Kavanaugh

$0 交易量

42%

Jensen / Huang

$0 交易量

42%

Zuckerberg

$0 交易量

36%

Bolsonaro

$0 交易量

32%

Nicki / Minaj

$0 交易量

28%

Keir / Starmer

$1 交易量

53%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This Polymarket resolves Yes for any listed outcome if President Trump verbally utters the individual's name—plural or possessive forms included—in a publicly accessible audio or video recording between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; written mentions like Truth Social posts do not qualify. Trader consensus reflects Trump's rhetorical patterns from recent speeches, including his March 26 cabinet meeting, where he frequently references foreign leaders like Netanyahu amid ongoing Middle East diplomacy and domestic critics such as Kamala Harris or Gavin Newsom during campaign-style addresses. No specific April announcements or vacancies have been teased in the past 30 days, leaving odds driven by historical mention frequency and low-volume early trading on this March 30 launch. Key upcoming catalysts include the April 1 Easter lunch and routine press briefings by Karoline Leavitt, which could prompt verbal name-drops.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$272
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This Polymarket resolves Yes for any listed outcome if President Trump verbally utters the individual's name—plural or possessive forms included—in a publicly accessible audio or video recording between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; written mentions like Truth Social posts do not qualify. Trader consensus reflects Trump's rhetorical patterns from recent speeches, including his March 26 cabinet meeting, where he frequently references foreign leaders like Netanyahu amid ongoing Middle East diplomacy and domestic critics such as Kamala Harris or Gavin Newsom during campaign-style addresses. No specific April announcements or vacancies have been teased in the past 30 days, leaving odds driven by historical mention frequency and low-volume early trading on this March 30 launch. Key upcoming catalysts include the April 1 Easter lunch and routine press briefings by Karoline Leavitt, which could prompt verbal name-drops.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$272
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Who will Trump name in April?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 33 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Netanyahu"，概率为 96%，其次是"Newsom / Newscum"，概率为 73%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 96¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 96%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Who will Trump name in April?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Mar 30, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Who will Trump name in April?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 33 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Who will Trump name in April?"的当前领先者是"Netanyahu"，概率为 96%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 96%。紧随其后的结果是"Newsom / Newscum"，概率为 73%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Who will Trump name in April?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。