Market icon

特朗普会在4月1日的复活节午餐期间跳舞吗?

Market icon

特朗普会在4月1日的复活节午餐期间跳舞吗?

<1% 概率
Polymarket

$2,477 交易量

<1% 概率
Polymarket

$2,477 交易量

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event. President Trump hosted a formal Easter lunch at the White House on April 1, featuring prayer, remarks to national faith leaders, and official proceedings, with no reports or video evidence of dancing emerging from extensive coverage by White House channels, media outlets, and social platforms. This absence of the signature dance moves seen in prior public appearances—such as balcony speeches or rallies—has solidified trader consensus at 100% "No," reflecting real-time verification post-event. While late-breaking footage could theoretically shift resolution, the event's completion amid Holy Week preparations for the April 5 Easter Sunday and Egg Roll leaves negligible uncertainty.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
交易量
$2,477
结束日期
2026-04-01
市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.

已提议结果: 否

争议期

最终

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event. President Trump hosted a formal Easter lunch at the White House on April 1, featuring prayer, remarks to national faith leaders, and official proceedings, with no reports or video evidence of dancing emerging from extensive coverage by White House channels, media outlets, and social platforms. This absence of the signature dance moves seen in prior public appearances—such as balcony speeches or rallies—has solidified trader consensus at 100% "No," reflecting real-time verification post-event. While late-breaking footage could theoretically shift resolution, the event's completion amid Holy Week preparations for the April 5 Easter Sunday and Egg Roll leaves negligible uncertainty.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
交易量
$2,477
结束日期
2026-04-01
市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.

已提议结果: 否

争议期

最终

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普会在4月1日的复活节午餐期间跳舞吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"特朗普会在4月1日的复活节午餐上跳舞吗?",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 0¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"特朗普会在4月1日的复活节午餐期间跳舞吗?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Mar 30, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"特朗普会在4月1日的复活节午餐期间跳舞吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"特朗普会在4月1日的复活节午餐期间跳舞吗?"的当前领先者是"特朗普会在4月1日的复活节午餐上跳舞吗?",仅有 0%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

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