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Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

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Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

>5,000 99.6%

4,000-4,500 1.0%

4,500-5,000 <1%

3,000-3,500 <1%

Polymarket

$3,113 交易量

>5,000 99.6%

4,000-4,500 1.0%

4,500-5,000 <1%

3,000-3,500 <1%

Polymarket

$3,113 交易量

<2,000

$397 交易量

<1%

2,000-2,500

$612 交易量

<1%

2,500-3,000

$343 交易量

<1%

3,000-3,500

$245 交易量

<1%

3,500-4,000

$592 交易量

<1%

4,000-4,500

$343 交易量

1%

4,500-5,000

$175 交易量

1%

>5,000

$408 交易量

100%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware data confirms 5,873 delays within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, locking in trader consensus at 99.7% for over 5,000 US flight delays, as the FAA's daily air traffic report highlighted impacts from low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms at major hubs including Boston Logan (BOS), New York-area airports (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), Washington Dulles (IAD), Atlanta (ATL), Denver (DEN), and Texas airports (IAH, HOU), plus winds in Las Vegas (LAS). This exceeds typical daily averages amid routine spring weather patterns, with 837 cancellations adding pressure. Final DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics validation could theoretically adjust counts downward via reclassification of minor delays under 15 minutes, but real-time trackers make a drop below 5,000 improbable absent data errors.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
交易量
$3,113
结束日期
2026-04-01
市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware data confirms 5,873 delays within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, locking in trader consensus at 99.7% for over 5,000 US flight delays, as the FAA's daily air traffic report highlighted impacts from low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms at major hubs including Boston Logan (BOS), New York-area airports (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), Washington Dulles (IAD), Atlanta (ATL), Denver (DEN), and Texas airports (IAH, HOU), plus winds in Las Vegas (LAS). This exceeds typical daily averages amid routine spring weather patterns, with 837 cancellations adding pressure. Final DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics validation could theoretically adjust counts downward via reclassification of minor delays under 15 minutes, but real-time trackers make a drop below 5,000 improbable absent data errors.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
交易量
$3,113
结束日期
2026-04-01
市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为">5,000",概率为 100%,其次是"4,000-4,500",概率为 1%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Apr 1, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?"的当前领先者是">5,000",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"4,000-4,500",概率为 1%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。