Venezuelan authorities' presentation of detained suspects, including televised confessions from alleged Colombian mercenaries implicated in assassination plots against President Nicolás Maduro, forms the core evidence driving 99.4% trader consensus that the captures were not staged. These developments followed Maduro's disputed July election victory, amid opposition claims of political theater to justify crackdowns, but no verifiable proof of fabrication has surfaced from international observers or independent probes. Maduro's ongoing public addresses further dispel staging narratives. Absent recanted testimonies, coerced admission exposures, or forensic debunkings from trials expected soon, this near-certain pricing reflects traders' assessment of low risk for reversal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$921,951 交易量
$921,951 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$921,951 交易量
$921,951 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
交易量
$921,951结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$921,951结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan authorities' presentation of detained suspects, including televised confessions from alleged Colombian mercenaries implicated in assassination plots against President Nicolás Maduro, forms the core evidence driving 99.4% trader consensus that the captures were not staged. These developments followed Maduro's disputed July election victory, amid opposition claims of political theater to justify crackdowns, but no verifiable proof of fabrication has surfaced from international observers or independent probes. Maduro's ongoing public addresses further dispel staging narratives. Absent recanted testimonies, coerced admission exposures, or forensic debunkings from trials expected soon, this near-certain pricing reflects traders' assessment of low risk for reversal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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