Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 99.6% for the claim that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's purported capture was staged, reflecting scant evidence of any such event amid post-election unrest. Primary drivers include rapid fact-checks from outlets like Reuters and AFP debunking viral videos as recycled footage from prior incidents or deepfakes, with no corroboration from official Venezuelan military statements, opposition leaders like María Corina Machado, or international observers. Maduro continues public appearances and governance, underscoring the absence of a real capture. Confidence remains near-certain barring unforeseen primary evidence, such as authenticated regime defections or diplomatic confirmations, though political volatility in Venezuela could prompt rumor spikes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$950,604 交易量
$950,604 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$950,604 交易量
$950,604 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
交易量
$950,604结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is widely and credibly confirmed that the operation to capture Nicolás Maduro was staged or pre-arranged with Maduro (i.e., facilitated, permitted, or agreed to in advance such that Maduro’s capture was not the result of an adversarial raid) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Statements from the U.S. government claiming that the operation was staged or pre-arranged will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If no broad consensus has been reached by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$950,604结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 99.6% for the claim that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's purported capture was staged, reflecting scant evidence of any such event amid post-election unrest. Primary drivers include rapid fact-checks from outlets like Reuters and AFP debunking viral videos as recycled footage from prior incidents or deepfakes, with no corroboration from official Venezuelan military statements, opposition leaders like María Corina Machado, or international observers. Maduro continues public appearances and governance, underscoring the absence of a real capture. Confidence remains near-certain barring unforeseen primary evidence, such as authenticated regime defections or diplomatic confirmations, though political volatility in Venezuela could prompt rumor spikes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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