President-elect Donald Trump nominated Senator Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) as Secretary of Homeland Security on November 21, praising his aggressive stance against cartels and border security threats. Republicans' 53-47 Senate majority, effective January 3, favors confirmation via simple majority after hearings in the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, likely chaired by a Republican post-lame-duck session. Mullin would resign his seat, prompting an Oklahoma special election. No hearings are scheduled, but leadership endorsements signal smooth progress; traders monitor potential holds over his combative style or policy clashes. Resolution hinges on floor vote before inauguration, with historical precedents showing rapid cabinet approvals for aligned nominees.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$46,953 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
3月31日
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4月30日
100%
$46,953 交易量
3月31日
$46,953 交易量
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4月30日
$0 交易量
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 5, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
交易量
$46,953结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 5, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$46,953结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 5, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump nominated Senator Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) as Secretary of Homeland Security on November 21, praising his aggressive stance against cartels and border security threats. Republicans' 53-47 Senate majority, effective January 3, favors confirmation via simple majority after hearings in the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, likely chaired by a Republican post-lame-duck session. Mullin would resign his seat, prompting an Oklahoma special election. No hearings are scheduled, but leadership endorsements signal smooth progress; traders monitor potential holds over his combative style or policy clashes. Resolution hinges on floor vote before inauguration, with historical precedents showing rapid cabinet approvals for aligned nominees.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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