Pete Hegseth remains securely in place as Secretary of Defense, now over 14 months after his narrow 51-50 Senate confirmation in January 2025, with Vice President Vance casting the tie-breaker, driving trader consensus to 99.8% against his removal by March 31. Recent Pentagon briefings on March 6 and 10, alongside public statements on Iran operations and a March 16 Senate letter seeking clarification on military posture, underscore his active leadership amid ongoing U.S. engagements, with no announcements of resignation, firing, or scandal in the past 30 days. Such extreme pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on cabinet stability under President Trump, though abrupt scenarios like a health emergency, major controversy, or executive dismissal could still shift outcomes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$281,593 交易量
$281,593 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$281,593 交易量
$281,593 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between December 1, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth remains securely in place as Secretary of Defense, now over 14 months after his narrow 51-50 Senate confirmation in January 2025, with Vice President Vance casting the tie-breaker, driving trader consensus to 99.8% against his removal by March 31. Recent Pentagon briefings on March 6 and 10, alongside public statements on Iran operations and a March 16 Senate letter seeking clarification on military posture, underscore his active leadership amid ongoing U.S. engagements, with no announcements of resignation, firing, or scandal in the past 30 days. Such extreme pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on cabinet stability under President Trump, though abrupt scenarios like a health emergency, major controversy, or executive dismissal could still shift outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between December 1, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 1, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
交易量
$281,593结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between December 1, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth remains securely in place as Secretary of Defense, now over 14 months after his narrow 51-50 Senate confirmation in January 2025, with Vice President Vance casting the tie-breaker, driving trader consensus to 99.8% against his removal by March 31. Recent Pentagon briefings on March 6 and 10, alongside public statements on Iran operations and a March 16 Senate letter seeking clarification on military posture, underscore his active leadership amid ongoing U.S. engagements, with no announcements of resignation, firing, or scandal in the past 30 days. Such extreme pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on cabinet stability under President Trump, though abrupt scenarios like a health emergency, major controversy, or executive dismissal could still shift outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between December 1, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$281,593结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pete Hegseth remains securely in place as Secretary of Defense, now over 14 months after his narrow 51-50 Senate confirmation in January 2025, with Vice President Vance casting the tie-breaker, driving trader consensus to 99.8% against his removal by March 31. Recent Pentagon briefings on March 6 and 10, alongside public statements on Iran operations and a March 16 Senate letter seeking clarification on military posture, underscore his active leadership amid ongoing U.S. engagements, with no announcements of resignation, firing, or scandal in the past 30 days. Such extreme pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on cabinet stability under President Trump, though abrupt scenarios like a health emergency, major controversy, or executive dismissal could still shift outcomes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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