Karoline Leavitt's impending maternity leave in May, following her March baby shower announcement, anchors trader consensus on her top deputies as the first substitute White House Press Secretary, with principal deputy Anna Kelly holding a slim 30% implied probability edge over assistant Taylor Rogers at 27%. The tight clustering among press office staff like Liz Huston (18.5%) and Erika Kirk (15.5%), alongside Trump insiders such as Donald Trump (19%) and Brooke Rollins (18%), reflects uncertainty without an official acting designation amid Leavitt's ongoing briefings through late March. Recent cabinet shakeups, including Pam Bondi's ouster, heighten speculation on surprises, but an announcement or Leavitt's first absence could swiftly separate frontrunners via White House confirmation or briefing assignment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Taylor Rogers 31%
Anna Kelly 25%
Donald Trump 19%
Brooke Rollins 19%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
Taylor Rogers
31%
Anna Kelly
25%
Donald Trump
19%
Brooke Rollins
19%
Liz Huston
18%
Erika Kirk
16%
Peter Hegseth
14%
Linda McMahon
12%
Scott Bessent
11%
Stephen Miller
10%
Susie Wiles
10%
JD Vance
10%
Abigail Jackson
10%
Tom Homan
10%
Marco Rubio
8%
Howard Lutnick
6%
Pamela Bondi
6%
Taylor Rogers 31%
Anna Kelly 25%
Donald Trump 19%
Brooke Rollins 19%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
Taylor Rogers
$600 交易量
31%
Anna Kelly
$0 交易量
25%
Donald Trump
$0 交易量
19%
Brooke Rollins
$0 交易量
19%
Liz Huston
$0 交易量
18%
Erika Kirk
$0 交易量
16%
Peter Hegseth
$0 交易量
14%
Linda McMahon
$0 交易量
12%
Scott Bessent
$0 交易量
11%
Stephen Miller
$0 交易量
10%
Susie Wiles
$0 交易量
10%
JD Vance
$0 交易量
10%
Abigail Jackson
$0 交易量
10%
Tom Homan
$0 交易量
10%
Marco Rubio
$2 交易量
8%
Howard Lutnick
$0 交易量
6%
Pamela Bondi
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.Karoline Leavitt's impending maternity leave in May, following her March baby shower announcement, anchors trader consensus on her top deputies as the first substitute White House Press Secretary, with principal deputy Anna Kelly holding a slim 30% implied probability edge over assistant Taylor Rogers at 27%. The tight clustering among press office staff like Liz Huston (18.5%) and Erika Kirk (15.5%), alongside Trump insiders such as Donald Trump (19%) and Brooke Rollins (18%), reflects uncertainty without an official acting designation amid Leavitt's ongoing briefings through late March. Recent cabinet shakeups, including Pam Bondi's ouster, heighten speculation on surprises, but an announcement or Leavitt's first absence could swiftly separate frontrunners via White House confirmation or briefing assignment.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
交易量
$602结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.Karoline Leavitt's impending maternity leave in May, following her March baby shower announcement, anchors trader consensus on her top deputies as the first substitute White House Press Secretary, with principal deputy Anna Kelly holding a slim 30% implied probability edge over assistant Taylor Rogers at 27%. The tight clustering among press office staff like Liz Huston (18.5%) and Erika Kirk (15.5%), alongside Trump insiders such as Donald Trump (19%) and Brooke Rollins (18%), reflects uncertainty without an official acting designation amid Leavitt's ongoing briefings through late March. Recent cabinet shakeups, including Pam Bondi's ouster, heighten speculation on surprises, but an announcement or Leavitt's first absence could swiftly separate frontrunners via White House confirmation or briefing assignment.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.
This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
交易量
$602结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Karoline Leavitt's impending maternity leave in May, following her March baby shower announcement, anchors trader consensus on her top deputies as the first substitute White House Press Secretary, with principal deputy Anna Kelly holding a slim 30% implied probability edge over assistant Taylor Rogers at 27%. The tight clustering among press office staff like Liz Huston (18.5%) and Erika Kirk (15.5%), alongside Trump insiders such as Donald Trump (19%) and Brooke Rollins (18%), reflects uncertainty without an official acting designation amid Leavitt's ongoing briefings through late March. Recent cabinet shakeups, including Pam Bondi's ouster, heighten speculation on surprises, but an announcement or Leavitt's first absence could swiftly separate frontrunners via White House confirmation or briefing assignment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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