Recent polls including CNN and UMass Amherst reveal President Trump's job approval rating sinking to second-term lows around 33-35%, with economic approval hitting a record 31% amid the Iran war's escalation, surging gas prices, and a partial government shutdown. Fresh data from the past week shows erosion even among working-class white voters, a key base, as inflation concerns and tariffs compound fiscal pressures. Traders' 67% implied probability on "Down" reflects this downward momentum in polling averages from trackers like Nate Silver and RealClearPolitics, with no major countervailing events this week to reverse the trend ahead of midterm election pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Up
最新
最新
2026-04-11
Up
最新
最新
2026-04-11
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls including CNN and UMass Amherst reveal President Trump's job approval rating sinking to second-term lows around 33-35%, with economic approval hitting a record 31% amid the Iran war's escalation, surging gas prices, and a partial government shutdown. Fresh data from the past week shows erosion even among working-class white voters, a key base, as inflation concerns and tariffs compound fiscal pressures. Traders' 67% implied probability on "Down" reflects this downward momentum in polling averages from trackers like Nate Silver and RealClearPolitics, with no major countervailing events this week to reverse the trend ahead of midterm election pressures.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 12:25 PM ET
交易量
$424结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 12:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls including CNN and UMass Amherst reveal President Trump's job approval rating sinking to second-term lows around 33-35%, with economic approval hitting a record 31% amid the Iran war's escalation, surging gas prices, and a partial government shutdown. Fresh data from the past week shows erosion even among working-class white voters, a key base, as inflation concerns and tariffs compound fiscal pressures. Traders' 67% implied probability on "Down" reflects this downward momentum in polling averages from trackers like Nate Silver and RealClearPolitics, with no major countervailing events this week to reverse the trend ahead of midterm election pressures.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 3, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$424结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 12:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls including CNN and UMass Amherst reveal President Trump's job approval rating sinking to second-term lows around 33-35%, with economic approval hitting a record 31% amid the Iran war's escalation, surging gas prices, and a partial government shutdown. Fresh data from the past week shows erosion even among working-class white voters, a key base, as inflation concerns and tariffs compound fiscal pressures. Traders' 67% implied probability on "Down" reflects this downward momentum in polling averages from trackers like Nate Silver and RealClearPolitics, with no major countervailing events this week to reverse the trend ahead of midterm election pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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