President Trump's April 12 announcement of a U.S. Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, following collapsed peace talks with Iran in Pakistan, dominates trader consensus after the market period ended at 11:59 PM ET on April 12. This escalation from an earlier two-week ceasefire agreed around April 7 underscores ongoing tensions over Iran's nuclear program and Strait access, prompting frequent White House press conferences laced with threats to infrastructure but no mentions of quirky terms like "two weeks," "crypto/Bitcoin," "witch," or "Kharg Island." Low Yes prices across outcomes reflect verified transcripts showing standard foreign policy rhetoric amid diplomatic deadlines and ally coordination, with resolution pending official sources. No scheduled events noted post-period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$190,307 交易量
2026-04-12
Make America Great Again
Yes
Epic Fury
Yes
South Korea
Yes
Pam / Bondi
No
Lee / Zeldin
No
Moon
Yes
Stone Age
Yes
Boots on the ground
No
Delcy / Rodriguez
No
Kharg Island
No
Predict / Prediction / Predicted
Yes
Czar
Yes
King Charles
No
Paper Tiger
Yes
Two weeks
No
Tube
No
Potato
No
Coffee
No
Witch
No
Common Sense / Commonsense
No
Keir / Starmer
Yes
Crypto / Bitcoin
No
Shit / Ass
Yes
Six Seven
No
$190,307 交易量
Make America Great Again
$6,653 交易量
Yes
Epic Fury
$3,231 交易量
Yes
South Korea
$56,008 交易量
Yes
Pam / Bondi
$5,530 交易量
No
Lee / Zeldin
$496 交易量
No
Moon
$20,944 交易量
Yes
Stone Age
$910 交易量
Yes
Boots on the ground
$1,469 交易量
No
Delcy / Rodriguez
$2,883 交易量
No
Kharg Island
$1,387 交易量
No
Predict / Prediction / Predicted
$5,226 交易量
Yes
Czar
$4,554 交易量
Yes
King Charles
$7,077 交易量
No
Paper Tiger
$2,586 交易量
Yes
Two weeks
$10,038 交易量
No
Tube
$3,556 交易量
No
Potato
$956 交易量
No
Coffee
$1,344 交易量
No
Witch
$7,754 交易量
No
Common Sense / Commonsense
$5,047 交易量
No
Keir / Starmer
$8,105 交易量
Yes
Crypto / Bitcoin
$5,994 交易量
No
Shit / Ass
$14,650 交易量
Yes
Six Seven
$13,908 交易量
No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's April 12 announcement of a U.S. Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, following collapsed peace talks with Iran in Pakistan, dominates trader consensus after the market period ended at 11:59 PM ET on April 12. This escalation from an earlier two-week ceasefire agreed around April 7 underscores ongoing tensions over Iran's nuclear program and Strait access, prompting frequent White House press conferences laced with threats to infrastructure but no mentions of quirky terms like "two weeks," "crypto/Bitcoin," "witch," or "Kharg Island." Low Yes prices across outcomes reflect verified transcripts showing standard foreign policy rhetoric amid diplomatic deadlines and ally coordination, with resolution pending official sources. No scheduled events noted post-period.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
交易量
$190,307结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's April 12 announcement of a U.S. Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, following collapsed peace talks with Iran in Pakistan, dominates trader consensus after the market period ended at 11:59 PM ET on April 12. This escalation from an earlier two-week ceasefire agreed around April 7 underscores ongoing tensions over Iran's nuclear program and Strait access, prompting frequent White House press conferences laced with threats to infrastructure but no mentions of quirky terms like "two weeks," "crypto/Bitcoin," "witch," or "Kharg Island." Low Yes prices across outcomes reflect verified transcripts showing standard foreign policy rhetoric amid diplomatic deadlines and ally coordination, with resolution pending official sources. No scheduled events noted post-period.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$190,307结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
President Trump's April 12 announcement of a U.S. Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, following collapsed peace talks with Iran in Pakistan, dominates trader consensus after the market period ended at 11:59 PM ET on April 12. This escalation from an earlier two-week ceasefire agreed around April 7 underscores ongoing tensions over Iran's nuclear program and Strait access, prompting frequent White House press conferences laced with threats to infrastructure but no mentions of quirky terms like "two weeks," "crypto/Bitcoin," "witch," or "Kharg Island." Low Yes prices across outcomes reflect verified transcripts showing standard foreign policy rhetoric amid diplomatic deadlines and ally coordination, with resolution pending official sources. No scheduled events noted post-period.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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