President Trump's job approval rating clusters tightly around 39-40% in trader consensus, mirroring recent polling averages from outlets like RealClearPolitics (40.9%), Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin (below 40%), and YouGov (39.6%), which reflect a high floor from his loyal base amid broad disapproval. This positioning stems from the past week's fresh CNN polling showing second-term lows on the economy, inflation, foreign policy, and handling of the escalating Iran war, compounded by a prolonged partial government shutdown and rising gas prices driving net approval to -17 to -20. The race remains neck-and-neck due to polling stability despite headwinds, but separation could arise from pre-April 10 economic data releases, shutdown negotiations, or Iran diplomatic updates ahead of midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于39.0–39.4 34%
39.5–39.9 31%
38.5–38.9 15%
40.0–40.4 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-11
<38.5
9%
38.5–38.9
15%
39.0–39.4
34%
39.5–39.9
31%
40.0–40.4
14%
40.5+
3%
39.0–39.4 34%
39.5–39.9 31%
38.5–38.9 15%
40.0–40.4 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-11
<38.5
$878 交易量
9%
38.5–38.9
$282 交易量
15%
39.0–39.4
$227 交易量
34%
39.5–39.9
$300 交易量
31%
40.0–40.4
$229 交易量
14%
40.5+
$919 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.President Trump's job approval rating clusters tightly around 39-40% in trader consensus, mirroring recent polling averages from outlets like RealClearPolitics (40.9%), Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin (below 40%), and YouGov (39.6%), which reflect a high floor from his loyal base amid broad disapproval. This positioning stems from the past week's fresh CNN polling showing second-term lows on the economy, inflation, foreign policy, and handling of the escalating Iran war, compounded by a prolonged partial government shutdown and rising gas prices driving net approval to -17 to -20. The race remains neck-and-neck due to polling stability despite headwinds, but separation could arise from pre-April 10 economic data releases, shutdown negotiations, or Iran diplomatic updates ahead of midterms.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
交易量
$2,834结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.President Trump's job approval rating clusters tightly around 39-40% in trader consensus, mirroring recent polling averages from outlets like RealClearPolitics (40.9%), Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin (below 40%), and YouGov (39.6%), which reflect a high floor from his loyal base amid broad disapproval. This positioning stems from the past week's fresh CNN polling showing second-term lows on the economy, inflation, foreign policy, and handling of the escalating Iran war, compounded by a prolonged partial government shutdown and rising gas prices driving net approval to -17 to -20. The race remains neck-and-neck due to polling stability despite headwinds, but separation could arise from pre-April 10 economic data releases, shutdown negotiations, or Iran diplomatic updates ahead of midterms.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$2,834结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's job approval rating clusters tightly around 39-40% in trader consensus, mirroring recent polling averages from outlets like RealClearPolitics (40.9%), Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin (below 40%), and YouGov (39.6%), which reflect a high floor from his loyal base amid broad disapproval. This positioning stems from the past week's fresh CNN polling showing second-term lows on the economy, inflation, foreign policy, and handling of the escalating Iran war, compounded by a prolonged partial government shutdown and rising gas prices driving net approval to -17 to -20. The race remains neck-and-neck due to polling stability despite headwinds, but separation could arise from pre-April 10 economic data releases, shutdown negotiations, or Iran diplomatic updates ahead of midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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