Trader consensus favors Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 49% implied probability to win the most governorships in Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections, driven by strong preliminary quick counts and ongoing official cómputos showing its candidates leading in Santa Cruz—economic powerhouse—and securing an outright victory in Pando, the only department with a first-round winner alongside Potosí. The MAS-IPSP's collapse to 2.9% reflects its fragmentation after the 2025 presidential loss to Rodrigo Paz, enabling new right-leaning parties like LIBRE, linked to Jorge Quiroga, to capitalize on anti-incumbent sentiment. PDC (22%), Popular Alliance (21.5%), and Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (21%) remain competitive via local leaders in runoff-bound races like La Paz, Tarija, and Beni, underscoring a fragmented landscape with second rounds pending in seven departments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于统一阵线（UNIDAD） 11%
人民联盟（AP） 9%
基督教民主党（PDC） 9%
玻利维亚自治联盟－苏马特（APB Súmate） 5%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
统一阵线（UNIDAD）
11%
人民联盟（AP）
22%
基督教民主党（PDC）
22%
玻利维亚自治联盟－苏马特（APB Súmate）
21%
争取社会主义运动（MAS-IPSP）
3%
自由－自由与民主（LIBRE）
49%
统一阵线（UNIDAD） 11%
人民联盟（AP） 9%
基督教民主党（PDC） 9%
玻利维亚自治联盟－苏马特（APB Súmate） 5%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
统一阵线（UNIDAD）
$0 交易量
11%
人民联盟（AP）
$0 交易量
22%
基督教民主党（PDC）
$0 交易量
22%
玻利维亚自治联盟－苏马特（APB Súmate）
$0 交易量
21%
争取社会主义运动（MAS-IPSP）
$0 交易量
3%
自由－自由与民主（LIBRE）
$0 交易量
49%
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus favors Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 49% implied probability to win the most governorships in Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections, driven by strong preliminary quick counts and ongoing official cómputos showing its candidates leading in Santa Cruz—economic powerhouse—and securing an outright victory in Pando, the only department with a first-round winner alongside Potosí. The MAS-IPSP's collapse to 2.9% reflects its fragmentation after the 2025 presidential loss to Rodrigo Paz, enabling new right-leaning parties like LIBRE, linked to Jorge Quiroga, to capitalize on anti-incumbent sentiment. PDC (22%), Popular Alliance (21.5%), and Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (21%) remain competitive via local leaders in runoff-bound races like La Paz, Tarija, and Beni, underscoring a fragmented landscape with second rounds pending in seven departments.
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus favors Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 49% implied probability to win the most governorships in Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections, driven by strong preliminary quick counts and ongoing official cómputos showing its candidates leading in Santa Cruz—economic powerhouse—and securing an outright victory in Pando, the only department with a first-round winner alongside Potosí. The MAS-IPSP's collapse to 2.9% reflects its fragmentation after the 2025 presidential loss to Rodrigo Paz, enabling new right-leaning parties like LIBRE, linked to Jorge Quiroga, to capitalize on anti-incumbent sentiment. PDC (22%), Popular Alliance (21.5%), and Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (21%) remain competitive via local leaders in runoff-bound races like La Paz, Tarija, and Beni, underscoring a fragmented landscape with second rounds pending in seven departments.
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Libre – Liberty and Democracy (LIBRE) at 49% implied probability to win the most governorships in Bolivia's March 22 subnational elections, driven by strong preliminary quick counts and ongoing official cómputos showing its candidates leading in Santa Cruz—economic powerhouse—and securing an outright victory in Pando, the only department with a first-round winner alongside Potosí. The MAS-IPSP's collapse to 2.9% reflects its fragmentation after the 2025 presidential loss to Rodrigo Paz, enabling new right-leaning parties like LIBRE, linked to Jorge Quiroga, to capitalize on anti-incumbent sentiment. PDC (22%), Popular Alliance (21.5%), and Autonomy for Bolivia – Súmate (21%) remain competitive via local leaders in runoff-bound races like La Paz, Tarija, and Beni, underscoring a fragmented landscape with second rounds pending in seven departments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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