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US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 27

<1%

January 28

1%

January 27

<1%

January 28

1%

$110m Vol.

Monthly

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 25

<1%

January 26

<1%

January 25

<1%

January 26

<1%

$23m Vol.

Monthly

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

2%

chance

$45m Vol.

Daily

Venezuela leader end of 2026? card icon

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez

56%

María Corina Machado

17%

Delcy Rodríguez

56%

María Corina Machado

17%

$13m Vol.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

19%

chance

$2m Vol.

Daily

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

<1%

chance

$23m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

7%

chance

$15m Vol.

Monthly

US/Israel strikes Iran by...? card icon

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

January 31

10%

February 15

34%

January 31

10%

February 15

34%

$7m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

1%

chance

$9m Vol.

Monthly

Next leader out of power before 2027? card icon

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Schoof - Netherlands PM

67%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

15%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

67%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

15%

$3m Vol.

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

January 28

43%

January 29

56%

January 28

43%

January 29

56%

$5m Vol.

Daily

Costa Rica Presidential Election card icon

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

91%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

5%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

91%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

5%

$2m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

15%

chance

$12m Vol.

Will Israel strike Gaza on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

January 26

1%

January 27

3%

January 26

1%

January 27

3%

$3m Vol.

Daily

Xi Jinping out before 2027? card icon

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

8%

chance

$6m Vol.

Monthly

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

8%

chance

NEW

•

$592k Vol.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? card icon

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

23%

chance

$7m Vol.

Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time? card icon

Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?

No Prison Time

3%

<5 Years

<1%

No Prison Time

3%

<5 Years

<1%

$2m Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by…? card icon

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by…?

January 31

6%

February 28

45%

January 31

6%

February 28

45%

$3m Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in January? card icon

Who will Trump meet with in January?

Giorgia Meloni

1%

Ursula von der Leyen

1%

Giorgia Meloni

1%

Ursula von der Leyen

1%

$2m Vol.

Daily

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Popular Geopolitics markets

Who will Trump talk to in January?Maduro guilty of all counts?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Next Country US Strikes Iran Strike on Israel by...?Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on...?Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

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New Geopolitics markets

How many times will the US strike Somalia in February?Will Israel strike Gaza on...?Trump announces new drug boat strike by...?Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?Ukraine hits Moscow by...?US next strikes Iran on...?Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on...?U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Next Country US Strikes

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