Polymarket

Browse

New

Trending

Popular

Liquid

Ending Soon

Competitive

Topics

Live Crypto

Live Crypto

Politics

Politics

Middle East

Middle East

Crypto

Crypto

Sports

Sports

Pop Culture

Pop Culture

Tech

Tech

AI

AI

TrendingBreakingNew
PoliticsSportsCryptoFinanceGeopoliticsEarningsTechCultureWorldEconomyClimate & ScienceElectionsMentionsMore

Geopolitics

AllIranUkraineVenezuelaUkraine Peace DealUkraine MapGazaIsraelSudanChinaThailand-CambodiaMiddle EastForeign PolicyIndia-PakistanSouth KoreaYemenSyriaTurkey

Geopolitics

AllIranUkraineVenezuelaUkraine Peace DealUkraine MapGazaIsraelSudanChinaThailand-CambodiaMiddle EastForeign PolicyIndia-PakistanSouth KoreaYemenSyriaTurkey
US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

February 10

1%

Yes1%No99%

February 11

1%

Yes1%No99%

February 10

1%

Yes1%No99%

February 11

1%

Yes1%No99%

$218m Vol.

Monthly
Venezuela leader end of 2026? card icon

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez

68%

Yes68%No32%

María Corina Machado

12%

Yes12%No88%

Delcy Rodríguez

68%

Yes68%No32%

María Corina Machado

12%

Yes12%No88%

$35m Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

February 8

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

February 9

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

February 8

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

February 9

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

$14m Vol.

Monthly
Russia nuclear test by...? card icon

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$1m Vol.

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026? card icon

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$838k Vol.

Daily
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? card icon

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$3m Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

Before March ET

19%

Yes19%No81%

March 1

2%

Yes2%No98%

Before March ET

19%

Yes19%No81%

March 1

2%

Yes2%No98%

NEW

•

$451k Vol.

Monthly
Next leader out of power before 2027? card icon

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Schoof - Netherlands PM

88%

Yes88%No12%

Starmer - UK PM

6%

Yes6%No94%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

88%

Yes88%No12%

Starmer - UK PM

6%

Yes6%No94%

$7m Vol.

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? card icon

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?

<1%

chance

Yes

No

$847k Vol.

Daily
US/Israel strikes Iran by...? card icon

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

February 15

8%

Yes8%No92%

February 28

24%

Yes24%No76%

February 15

8%

Yes8%No92%

February 28

24%

Yes24%No76%

$12m Vol.

Next Country US Strikes card icon

Next Country US Strikes

Somalia

99%

Yes99%No1%

Syria

1%

Yes1%No99%

Somalia

99%

Yes99%No1%

Syria

1%

Yes1%No99%

$1m Vol.

Monthly
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

8%

chance

Yes

No

$16m Vol.

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 card icon

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

13%

Yes13%No87%

International Court of Justice

13%

Yes13%No87%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

13%

Yes13%No87%

International Court of Justice

13%

Yes13%No87%

$4m Vol.

Will Israel strike Gaza on...? card icon

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

February 10

59%

Yes59%No41%

February 11

56%

Yes56%No44%

February 10

59%

Yes59%No41%

February 11

56%

Yes56%No44%

$1m Vol.

Daily
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

17%

chance

Yes

No

$11m Vol.

Daily
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$7m Vol.

Daily
Polymarket

The World's Largest Prediction Market™

Related topics

ChinaPredictionsIsraelPredictionsIranPredictionsVenezuelaPredictionsUkrainePredictionsUkraine Peace DealPredictionsUkraine MapPredictionsGazaPredictionsSudanPredictionsThailand-CambodiaPredictions
Middle EastPredictionsForeign PolicyPredictionsIndia-PakistanPredictionsSouth KoreaPredictionsYemenPredictionsSyriaPredictionsTurkeyPredictions

Popular Geopolitics markets

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Turnout in Portugal Presidential Election Second RoundRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Trump out as President before 2027?Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality on...?Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by...?Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?Trump strikes Iran during Big Game...?Xi Jinping out before 2027?

New Geopolitics markets

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?Khamenei public appearance by...?Nothing Ever Happens: FebruaryWill Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu this week?Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Wednesday?Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by February 12?Trump strikes Iran during Big Game...?
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28?Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?Will Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31?Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?Will Alberta join the US? U.S. Ambassador to Poland out by March 31?
Adventure One QSS Inc. © 2026/Privacy/Terms of Use/Help Center/Docs

Polymarket operates globally through separate legal entities. Polymarket US is operated by QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market. This international platform is not regulated by the CFTC and operates independently. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. See our Terms of Service & Privacy Policy.

Home

Breaking