Trader consensus heavily favors no in-person meeting between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Russian President Vladimir Putin before 2027 at 82%, reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks amid ongoing frontline stalemates and unresolved territorial disputes over Donetsk and Luhansk. Recent developments include Zelenskyy's late February 2026 instruction to prepare a Geneva summit for direct territorial breakthroughs, countered by a Russian aide's January invitation to Moscow contingent on Zelenskyy's readiness, yet no agenda has materialized. March prisoner swaps and Zelenskyy's linkage of talks to Middle East dynamics underscore diplomatic fragility, with upcoming US envoy discussions unlikely to yield a summit amid mutual distrust and battlefield pauses. Low odds on venues like Turkey, US, or Hungary echo prior mediation sites but lack current momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNo meeting before 2027 82%
Turkey 2.4%
US 2.4%
Qatar / UAE 1.9%
$1,889,392 Vol.
$1,889,392 Vol.

No meeting before 2027
82%

Turkey
2%

US
2%

Qatar / UAE
2%

Russia
2%

Saudi Arabia
2%

Hungary
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

Ukraine
1%

China
1%

Italy / Vatican
1%

India
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
No meeting before 2027 82%
Turkey 2.4%
US 2.4%
Qatar / UAE 1.9%
$1,889,392 Vol.
$1,889,392 Vol.

No meeting before 2027
82%

Turkey
2%

US
2%

Qatar / UAE
2%

Russia
2%

Saudi Arabia
2%

Hungary
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

Ukraine
1%

China
1%

Italy / Vatican
1%

India
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no in-person meeting between Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Russian President Vladimir Putin before 2027 at 82%, reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks amid ongoing frontline stalemates and unresolved territorial disputes over Donetsk and Luhansk. Recent developments include Zelenskyy's late February 2026 instruction to prepare a Geneva summit for direct territorial breakthroughs, countered by a Russian aide's January invitation to Moscow contingent on Zelenskyy's readiness, yet no agenda has materialized. March prisoner swaps and Zelenskyy's linkage of talks to Middle East dynamics underscore diplomatic fragility, with upcoming US envoy discussions unlikely to yield a summit amid mutual distrust and battlefield pauses. Low odds on venues like Turkey, US, or Hungary echo prior mediation sites but lack current momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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