President Trump's diplomatic outreach amid escalating US-Iran conflict has driven trader consensus on bilateral talks in March 2026, with confirmed phone calls to Russian President Vladimir Putin on March 9 discussing de-escalation proposals for Iran and Ukraine, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman around March 24 amid regional tensions, and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz. No verified contact occurred with Chinese President Xi Jinping despite heavy betting volume. Markets reflect credible reporting on verbal communications or in-person meetings between March 1-31, now in review for resolution; ongoing Iran war dynamics, including Strait of Hormuz blockades and strike threats, underscore the foreign policy pressures shaping these high-stakes engagements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$16,266,325 Vol.

Friedrich Merz
Yes

Nicolás Maduro
No

Kim Jong Un
No

Mohammed bin Salman
Yes

Maria Corina Machado
Yes

Emmanuel Macron
Yes

Keir Starmer
Yes

Ursula von der Leyen
Yes

Mark Carney
Yes

Reza Pahlavi
No

Vladimir Putin
Yes

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
No

Xi Jinping
No

MrBeast
No

Pope Leo XIV
No

Yoon Suk Yeol
No

Ahmed al-Sharaa
No

Mark Rutte
No

Masoud Pezeshkian
No
$16,266,325 Vol.

Friedrich Merz
Yes

Nicolás Maduro
No

Kim Jong Un
No

Mohammed bin Salman
Yes

Maria Corina Machado
Yes

Emmanuel Macron
Yes

Keir Starmer
Yes

Ursula von der Leyen
Yes

Mark Carney
Yes

Reza Pahlavi
No

Vladimir Putin
Yes

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
No

Xi Jinping
No

MrBeast
No

Pope Leo XIV
No

Yoon Suk Yeol
No

Ahmed al-Sharaa
No

Mark Rutte
No

Masoud Pezeshkian
No
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
President Trump's diplomatic outreach amid escalating US-Iran conflict has driven trader consensus on bilateral talks in March 2026, with confirmed phone calls to Russian President Vladimir Putin on March 9 discussing de-escalation proposals for Iran and Ukraine, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman around March 24 amid regional tensions, and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz. No verified contact occurred with Chinese President Xi Jinping despite heavy betting volume. Markets reflect credible reporting on verbal communications or in-person meetings between March 1-31, now in review for resolution; ongoing Iran war dynamics, including Strait of Hormuz blockades and strike threats, underscore the foreign policy pressures shaping these high-stakes engagements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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