President Donald Trump continues serving actively as president, with traders reflecting near-certain consensus at 99.2% against his departure by April 30 amid a Republican-controlled Congress that has quashed early April Democratic impeachment filings, such as Rep. John Larson's H.Res.939 on April 7, which faced low prospects of House passage or Senate conviction requiring a two-thirds supermajority. Recent developments center on Trump's diplomatic extensions of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire announced April 21, underscoring operational continuity rather than instability. No credible resignation signals, 25th Amendment invocations, or health crises have emerged in the past 30 days, though late-breaking scandals, medical emergencies, or unforeseen bipartisan revolt could theoretically shift dynamics before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$10,755,138 Vol.
$10,755,138 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$10,755,138 Vol.
$10,755,138 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump continues serving actively as president, with traders reflecting near-certain consensus at 99.2% against his departure by April 30 amid a Republican-controlled Congress that has quashed early April Democratic impeachment filings, such as Rep. John Larson's H.Res.939 on April 7, which faced low prospects of House passage or Senate conviction requiring a two-thirds supermajority. Recent developments center on Trump's diplomatic extensions of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire announced April 21, underscoring operational continuity rather than instability. No credible resignation signals, 25th Amendment invocations, or health crises have emerged in the past 30 days, though late-breaking scandals, medical emergencies, or unforeseen bipartisan revolt could theoretically shift dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Volume
$10,755,138End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump continues serving actively as president, with traders reflecting near-certain consensus at 99.2% against his departure by April 30 amid a Republican-controlled Congress that has quashed early April Democratic impeachment filings, such as Rep. John Larson's H.Res.939 on April 7, which faced low prospects of House passage or Senate conviction requiring a two-thirds supermajority. Recent developments center on Trump's diplomatic extensions of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire announced April 21, underscoring operational continuity rather than instability. No credible resignation signals, 25th Amendment invocations, or health crises have emerged in the past 30 days, though late-breaking scandals, medical emergencies, or unforeseen bipartisan revolt could theoretically shift dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,755,138End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump continues serving actively as president, with traders reflecting near-certain consensus at 99.2% against his departure by April 30 amid a Republican-controlled Congress that has quashed early April Democratic impeachment filings, such as Rep. John Larson's H.Res.939 on April 7, which faced low prospects of House passage or Senate conviction requiring a two-thirds supermajority. Recent developments center on Trump's diplomatic extensions of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire announced April 21, underscoring operational continuity rather than instability. No credible resignation signals, 25th Amendment invocations, or health crises have emerged in the past 30 days, though late-breaking scandals, medical emergencies, or unforeseen bipartisan revolt could theoretically shift dynamics before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions