Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 78.5%, reflecting stalled direct diplomacy amid unresolved territorial disputes and Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant issues, despite Zelenskyy's repeated openness to a summit. Recent trilateral Ukraine-US-Russia talks in Geneva in mid-February and proposed follow-ups in Switzerland or Turkey failed to yield leader-level commitments, with Zelenskyy noting on March 31 no Russian signals on an energy truce. Prisoner swaps on March 6 and upcoming April 1 online discussions involving US envoys Witkoff, Kushner, NATO's Rutte, and Senator Graham underscore mediation progress without breakthroughs. Neutral sites like Qatar/UAE (3.1%) and Turkey (2.1%) lead alternatives due to prior hosting roles, while US (2.6%) odds tie to Trump-era pushes, though core sticking points sustain high barriers to an in-person summit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNo meeting before 2027 79%
Qatar / UAE 3.1%
US 2.6%
Russia 2.1%
$1,741,182 Vol.
$1,741,182 Vol.

No meeting before 2027
79%

Qatar / UAE
3%

US
3%

Russia
2%

Hungary
2%

Turkey
2%

Saudi Arabia
2%

Switzerland
2%

China
1%

Belarus
1%

Ukraine
1%

India
1%

Italy / Vatican
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
No meeting before 2027 79%
Qatar / UAE 3.1%
US 2.6%
Russia 2.1%
$1,741,182 Vol.
$1,741,182 Vol.

No meeting before 2027
79%

Qatar / UAE
3%

US
3%

Russia
2%

Hungary
2%

Turkey
2%

Saudi Arabia
2%

Switzerland
2%

China
1%

Belarus
1%

Ukraine
1%

India
1%

Italy / Vatican
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 78.5%, reflecting stalled direct diplomacy amid unresolved territorial disputes and Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant issues, despite Zelenskyy's repeated openness to a summit. Recent trilateral Ukraine-US-Russia talks in Geneva in mid-February and proposed follow-ups in Switzerland or Turkey failed to yield leader-level commitments, with Zelenskyy noting on March 31 no Russian signals on an energy truce. Prisoner swaps on March 6 and upcoming April 1 online discussions involving US envoys Witkoff, Kushner, NATO's Rutte, and Senator Graham underscore mediation progress without breakthroughs. Neutral sites like Qatar/UAE (3.1%) and Turkey (2.1%) lead alternatives due to prior hosting roles, while US (2.6%) odds tie to Trump-era pushes, though core sticking points sustain high barriers to an in-person summit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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