Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Mar 30

Apr 1

65-89 38%

40-64 24%

90-114 23%

115-139 10%

Polymarket
NEW

$18,203 Vol.

65-89 38%

40-64 24%

90-114 23%

115-139 10%

Polymarket
NEW

$18,203 Vol.

<40

$1,331 Vol.

3%

40-64

$707 Vol.

24%

65-89

$726 Vol.

38%

90-114

$511 Vol.

23%

115-139

$758 Vol.

10%

140-164

$994 Vol.

3%

165-189

$1,131 Vol.

1%

190-214

$1,944 Vol.

1%

215-239

$5,275 Vol.

<1%

240+

$4,835 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 Elon Musk X posts from March 30 to April 1 at 39% implied probability, aligned with his recent steady pace of 20-35 posts per day per XTracker data, including a March 27 spike to 71 amid viral political hot takes on crime and immigration. The prior March 20-27 period resolved at 260-279 total posts over eight days, averaging around 33 daily, reinforcing this range while 40-64 (25.5%) and 90-114 (23.5%) capture potential weekend variability. No major catalysts like Tesla announcements or SpaceX launches are confirmed, but breaking news or public sentiment shifts could drive spikes, underscoring the unpredictability of Musk's high-engagement social media habits.

Trader consensus favors 65-89 Elon Musk X posts from March 30 to April 1 at 39% implied probability, aligned with his recent steady pace of 20-35 posts per day per XTracker data, including a March 27 spike to 71 amid viral political hot takes on crime and immigration. The prior March 20-27 period resolved at 260-279 total posts over eight days, averaging around 33 daily, reinforcing this range while 40-64 (25.5%) and 90-114 (23.5%) capture potential weekend variability. No major catalysts like Tesla announcements or SpaceX launches are confirmed, but breaking news or public sentiment shifts could drive spikes, underscoring the unpredictability of Musk's high-engagement social media habits.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 Elon Musk X posts from March 30 to April 1 at 39% implied probability, aligned with his recent steady pace of 20-35 posts per day per XTracker data, including a March 27 spike to 71 amid viral political hot takes on crime and immigration. The prior March 20-27 period resolved at 260-279 total posts over eight days, averaging around 33 daily, reinforcing this range while 40-64 (25.5%) and 90-114 (23.5%) capture potential weekend variability. No major catalysts like Tesla announcements or SpaceX launches are confirmed, but breaking news or public sentiment shifts could drive spikes, underscoring the unpredictability of Musk's high-engagement social media habits.

Trader consensus favors 65-89 Elon Musk X posts from March 30 to April 1 at 39% implied probability, aligned with his recent steady pace of 20-35 posts per day per XTracker data, including a March 27 spike to 71 amid viral political hot takes on crime and immigration. The prior March 20-27 period resolved at 260-279 total posts over eight days, averaging around 33 daily, reinforcing this range while 40-64 (25.5%) and 90-114 (23.5%) capture potential weekend variability. No major catalysts like Tesla announcements or SpaceX launches are confirmed, but breaking news or public sentiment shifts could drive spikes, underscoring the unpredictability of Musk's high-engagement social media habits.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "65-89" at 38%, followed by "40-64" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?" has generated $18.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?" is "65-89" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-64" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.