Trader consensus centers on 70-80 million week-1 views for MrBeast's next video at 37% implied probability, anchored by his recent run of uploads averaging 74 million first-week views, including the August 3 "Yacht" challenge that hit 82 million despite summer streaming dips. Steady subscriber growth past 320 million bolsters the 60-70M (25%) and 80-90M (22%) bins as viable contenders, with variability hinging on production scale—past mega-stunts like the chocolate factory topped 100 million, while leaner ones settled mid-60s. Absent next-video teases, X buzz around escalating challenges sustains hype, but YouTube algorithm flux and competition cap 90M+ at 8%, underscoring entertainment's unpredictable virality.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
70-80M 39%
60-70M 25%
80-90M 21%
90M+ 8%
$55,764 Vol.
$55,764 Vol.
<40M
1%
40-50M
2%
50-60M
6%
60-70M
25%
70-80M
39%
80-90M
21%
90M+
8%
70-80M 39%
60-70M 25%
80-90M 21%
90M+ 8%
$55,764 Vol.
$55,764 Vol.
<40M
1%
40-50M
2%
50-60M
6%
60-70M
25%
70-80M
39%
80-90M
21%
90M+
8%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 70-80 million week-1 views for MrBeast's next video at 37% implied probability, anchored by his recent run of uploads averaging 74 million first-week views, including the August 3 "Yacht" challenge that hit 82 million despite summer streaming dips. Steady subscriber growth past 320 million bolsters the 60-70M (25%) and 80-90M (22%) bins as viable contenders, with variability hinging on production scale—past mega-stunts like the chocolate factory topped 100 million, while leaner ones settled mid-60s. Absent next-video teases, X buzz around escalating challenges sustains hype, but YouTube algorithm flux and competition cap 90M+ at 8%, underscoring entertainment's unpredictable virality.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Beware of external links.
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