Iran predictions & odds

·

All

Politics

Gaza

Iran

Trump

Middle East

Israel

Geopolitics

Macro Geopolitics

Foreign Policy

World

Khamenei

Israel Strike Iran

US strikes Iran by...?

Iran

US strikes Iran by...?

$146m Vol.

$12m today

$1m Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

60%

June 30

$146m Vol.

$12m today

$1m Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

Iran

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

$9m Vol.

$1m today

$88.3k Liq.

291

Ends in 13 days

78%

December 31

$9m Vol.

$1m today

$88.3k Liq.

291

Ends in 13 days

US next strikes Iran on...?

Iran

US next strikes Iran on...?

$28m Vol.

$1m today

$292k Liq.

100%

No strike by January 31

$28m Vol.

$1m today

$292k Liq.

US next strikes Iran on...?

Iran

US next strikes Iran on...?

$2m Vol.

$719k today

$373k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

62%

No strike by February 28

$2m Vol.

$719k today

$373k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Iran

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

$4m Vol.

$425k today

$645k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

14%

$4m Vol.

$425k today

$645k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Next Country US Strikes

Iran

Next Country US Strikes

$5m Vol.

$368k today

$14m Liq.

Ends in 11 months

<1%

None before 2027

$5m Vol.

$368k today

$14m Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Next Country US Strikes

Iran

Next Country US Strikes

$387k Vol.

$291k today

$116k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

85%

Somalia

$387k Vol.

$291k today

$116k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

Iran

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

$7m Vol.

$201k today

$115k Liq.

242

7%

March 31

$7m Vol.

$201k today

$115k Liq.

242

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Iran

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

$8m Vol.

$182k today

$268k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

25%

$8m Vol.

$182k today

$268k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$3m Vol.

$118k today

$244k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

10%

$3m Vol.

$118k today

$244k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

Iran

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

$1m Vol.

$105k today

$66.6k Liq.

25

Ends in 26 days

33%

February 28

$1m Vol.

$105k today

$66.6k Liq.

25

Ends in 26 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Iran

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

$2m Vol.

$81.2k today

$108k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

51%

$2m Vol.

$81.2k today

$108k Liq.

8

Ends in 11 months

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

Iran

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?

$491k Vol.

$77.9k today

$34.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

34%

December 31

$491k Vol.

$77.9k today

$34.9k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

US forces enter Iran by..?

Iran

US forces enter Iran by..?

$739k Vol.

$52.7k today

$11.0k Liq.

19

14%

March 31

$739k Vol.

$52.7k today

$11.0k Liq.

19

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$3m Vol.

$158k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

36%

$3m Vol.

$158k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Iran

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

$221k Vol.

$25.6k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

32%

$221k Vol.

$25.6k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Iran

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

$4m Vol.

$46.1k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

33%

$4m Vol.

$46.1k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Iran strike on Qatar by January 31?

Iran

Iran strike on Qatar by January 31?

$211k Vol.

$6.5k Liq.

7

18%

February 28

$211k Vol.

$6.5k Liq.

7

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

Iran

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

$264k Vol.

$38.5k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

5%

$264k Vol.

$38.5k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

$865k Vol.

$53.4k Liq.

44

Ends in 5 months

18%

June 30

$865k Vol.

$53.4k Liq.

44

Ends in 5 months

Sort by

Event Status