Iran’s regime has demonstrated continuity and control following the February 2026 U.S.-Israel military campaign that included the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent ceasefire. Recent developments show Iranian officials negotiating from a position of perceived strength, issuing statements reaffirming revolutionary principles under successor Mojtaba Khamenei, while focusing on economic stabilization and hybrid security measures amid post-war sanctions and shipping restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz. No verified internal military defections, mass uprisings, or coordinated opposition actions have materialized in the past month that would support a coup timeline through June 30. Traders price the low probability of such an event given the regime’s institutional resilience and absence of triggering developments in the current diplomatic window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOo
$1,361,242 Vol.
$1,361,242 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Oo
$1,361,242 Vol.
$1,361,242 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s regime has demonstrated continuity and control following the February 2026 U.S.-Israel military campaign that included the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent ceasefire. Recent developments show Iranian officials negotiating from a position of perceived strength, issuing statements reaffirming revolutionary principles under successor Mojtaba Khamenei, while focusing on economic stabilization and hybrid security measures amid post-war sanctions and shipping restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz. No verified internal military defections, mass uprisings, or coordinated opposition actions have materialized in the past month that would support a coup timeline through June 30. Traders price the low probability of such an event given the regime’s institutional resilience and absence of triggering developments in the current diplomatic window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$1,361,242Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s regime has demonstrated continuity and control following the February 2026 U.S.-Israel military campaign that included the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent ceasefire. Recent developments show Iranian officials negotiating from a position of perceived strength, issuing statements reaffirming revolutionary principles under successor Mojtaba Khamenei, while focusing on economic stabilization and hybrid security measures amid post-war sanctions and shipping restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz. No verified internal military defections, mass uprisings, or coordinated opposition actions have materialized in the past month that would support a coup timeline through June 30. Traders price the low probability of such an event given the regime’s institutional resilience and absence of triggering developments in the current diplomatic window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,361,242Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s regime has demonstrated continuity and control following the February 2026 U.S.-Israel military campaign that included the assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and subsequent ceasefire. Recent developments show Iranian officials negotiating from a position of perceived strength, issuing statements reaffirming revolutionary principles under successor Mojtaba Khamenei, while focusing on economic stabilization and hybrid security measures amid post-war sanctions and shipping restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz. No verified internal military defections, mass uprisings, or coordinated opposition actions have materialized in the past month that would support a coup timeline through June 30. Traders price the low probability of such an event given the regime’s institutional resilience and absence of triggering developments in the current diplomatic window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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