Geopolitics Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

US strikes Iran by...?

Geopolitics

US strikes Iran by...?

$146m Vol.

$12m today

$1m Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

60%

June 30

$146m Vol.

$12m today

$1m Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

Geopolitics

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

$9m Vol.

$1m today

$86.7k Liq.

291

Ends in 13 days

78%

December 31

$9m Vol.

$1m today

$86.7k Liq.

291

Ends in 13 days

US next strikes Iran on...?

Geopolitics

US next strikes Iran on...?

$28m Vol.

$1m today

$296k Liq.

100%

No strike by January 31

$28m Vol.

$1m today

$296k Liq.

US next strikes Iran on...?

Geopolitics

US next strikes Iran on...?

$2m Vol.

$719k today

$372k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

62%

No strike by February 28

$2m Vol.

$719k today

$372k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Geopolitics

Costa Rica Presidential Election

$3m Vol.

$604k today

$284k Liq.

111

94%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

$3m Vol.

$604k today

$284k Liq.

111

Who will Trump talk to in January?

Geopolitics

Who will Trump talk to in January?

$7m Vol.

$508k today

$38.6k Liq.

18%

Vladimir Putin

$7m Vol.

$508k today

$38.6k Liq.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Geopolitics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

$4m Vol.

$425k today

$645k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

14%

$4m Vol.

$425k today

$645k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Next Country US Strikes

Geopolitics

Next Country US Strikes

$5m Vol.

$368k today

$14m Liq.

Ends in 11 months

<1%

None before 2027

$5m Vol.

$368k today

$14m Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$4m Vol.

$346k today

$249k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

79%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

$4m Vol.

$346k today

$249k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Geopolitics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$12m Vol.

$292k today

$712k Liq.

20,361

Ends in about 2 months

13%

$12m Vol.

$292k today

$712k Liq.

20,361

Ends in about 2 months

Next Country US Strikes

Geopolitics

Next Country US Strikes

$387k Vol.

$291k today

$114k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

85%

Somalia

$387k Vol.

$291k today

$114k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Geopolitics

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$14m Vol.

$285k today

$1m Liq.

145

Ends in 11 months

61%

Delcy Rodríguez

$14m Vol.

$285k today

$1m Liq.

145

Ends in 11 months

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Geopolitics

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$14m Vol.

$218k today

$51.0k Liq.

1,202

Ends in about 2 months

12%

December 31

$14m Vol.

$218k today

$51.0k Liq.

1,202

Ends in about 2 months

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

Geopolitics

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

$7m Vol.

$201k today

$110k Liq.

242

7%

March 31

$7m Vol.

$201k today

$110k Liq.

242

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Geopolitics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

$8m Vol.

$182k today

$267k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

25%

$8m Vol.

$182k today

$267k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Geopolitics

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$3m Vol.

$118k today

$243k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

10%

$3m Vol.

$118k today

$243k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

Geopolitics

Iran Strike on Israel by...?

$1m Vol.

$105k today

$66.9k Liq.

25

Ends in 26 days

33%

February 28

$1m Vol.

$105k today

$66.9k Liq.

25

Ends in 26 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Geopolitics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

$1m Vol.

$98.5k today

$386k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

5%

$1m Vol.

$98.5k today

$386k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Geopolitics

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$7m Vol.

$98.1k today

$222k Liq.

255

Ends in 11 months

22%

$7m Vol.

$98.1k today

$222k Liq.

255

Ends in 11 months

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Geopolitics

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

$327k Vol.

$82.9k today

$44.8k Liq.

95%

$327k Vol.

$82.9k today

$44.8k Liq.

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