Geopolitics Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

US strikes Iran by...?

Geopolitics

US strikes Iran by...?

$131m Vol.

$8m today

$956k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

72%

June 30

$131m Vol.

$8m today

$956k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Who will Trump talk to in January?

Geopolitics

Who will Trump talk to in January?

$6m Vol.

$4m today

$23.7k Liq.

60%

Vladimir Putin

$6m Vol.

$4m today

$23.7k Liq.

Next Country US Strikes

Geopolitics

Next Country US Strikes

$4m Vol.

$2m today

$15m Liq.

Ends in 11 months

<1%

None before 2027

$4m Vol.

$2m today

$15m Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Geopolitics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

$48m Vol.

$1m today

$318k Liq.

1%

$48m Vol.

$1m today

$318k Liq.

US next strikes Iran on...?

Geopolitics

US next strikes Iran on...?

$26m Vol.

$1m today

$282k Liq.

95%

No strike by January 31

$26m Vol.

$1m today

$282k Liq.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Geopolitics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

$26m Vol.

$697k today

$518k Liq.

<1%

$26m Vol.

$697k today

$518k Liq.

US next strikes Iran on...?

Geopolitics

US next strikes Iran on...?

$1m Vol.

$556k today

$277k Liq.

Ends in 28 days

41%

No strike by February 28

$1m Vol.

$556k today

$277k Liq.

Ends in 28 days

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

Geopolitics

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

$8m Vol.

$489k today

$139k Liq.

211

Ends in 15 days

81%

December 31

$8m Vol.

$489k today

$139k Liq.

211

Ends in 15 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Geopolitics

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

$11m Vol.

$464k today

$262k Liq.

<1%

$11m Vol.

$464k today

$262k Liq.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Geopolitics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

$3m Vol.

$430k today

$139k Liq.

Ends in 28 days

20%

$3m Vol.

$430k today

$139k Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Geopolitics

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

$16m Vol.

$375k today

$89.0k Liq.

2%

$16m Vol.

$375k today

$89.0k Liq.

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$4m Vol.

$291k today

$251k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

77%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

$4m Vol.

$291k today

$251k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Geopolitics

Costa Rica Presidential Election

$2m Vol.

$287k today

$380k Liq.

98

Ends in about 17 hours

91%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

$2m Vol.

$287k today

$380k Liq.

98

Ends in about 17 hours

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

Geopolitics

Will Khamenei leave Iran by...?

$7m Vol.

$199k today

$65.2k Liq.

207

11%

March 31

$7m Vol.

$199k today

$65.2k Liq.

207

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

Geopolitics

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

$6m Vol.

$185k today

$20.7k Liq.

55%

January 31

$6m Vol.

$185k today

$20.7k Liq.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Geopolitics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

$8m Vol.

$182k today

$146k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

32%

$8m Vol.

$182k today

$146k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

Geopolitics

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

$3m Vol.

$171k today

$11.4k Liq.

76%

January 31

$3m Vol.

$171k today

$11.4k Liq.

Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?

Geopolitics

Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?

$2m Vol.

$140k today

$16.7k Liq.

<1%

$2m Vol.

$140k today

$16.7k Liq.

Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?

Geopolitics

Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?

$151k Vol.

$135k today

$13.0k Liq.

75

Ends in 28 days

98%

$151k Vol.

$135k today

$13.0k Liq.

75

Ends in 28 days

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Geopolitics

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$14m Vol.

$125k today

$1m Liq.

145

Ends in 11 months

60%

Delcy Rodríguez

$14m Vol.

$125k today

$1m Liq.

145

Ends in 11 months

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