Geopolitics Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

US strikes Iran by...?

Geopolitics

US strikes Iran by...?

$153m Vol.

$9m today

$2m Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

56%

June 30

$153m Vol.

$9m today

$2m Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Geopolitics

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

$3m Vol.

$3m today

$758k Liq.

99%

$3m Vol.

$3m today

$758k Liq.

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Geopolitics

Costa Rica Presidential Election

$4m Vol.

$1m today

$769k Liq.

143

100%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

$4m Vol.

$1m today

$769k Liq.

143

US next strikes Iran on...?

Geopolitics

US next strikes Iran on...?

$3m Vol.

$1m today

$553k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

69%

No strike by February 28

$3m Vol.

$1m today

$553k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

US next strikes Iran on...?

Geopolitics

US next strikes Iran on...?

$28m Vol.

$800k today

$343k Liq.

100%

No strike by January 31

$28m Vol.

$800k today

$343k Liq.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Geopolitics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

$9m Vol.

$742k today

$213k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

20%

$9m Vol.

$742k today

$213k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Who will Trump talk to in January?

Geopolitics

Who will Trump talk to in January?

$8m Vol.

$678k today

$104k Liq.

2%

Vladimir Putin

$8m Vol.

$678k today

$104k Liq.

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Geopolitics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

$4m Vol.

$488k today

$694k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

12%

$4m Vol.

$488k today

$694k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Geopolitics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$13m Vol.

$378k today

$905k Liq.

20,361

Ends in about 2 months

12%

$13m Vol.

$378k today

$905k Liq.

20,361

Ends in about 2 months

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Geopolitics

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$14m Vol.

$337k today

$1m Liq.

144

Ends in 11 months

66%

Delcy Rodríguez

$14m Vol.

$337k today

$1m Liq.

144

Ends in 11 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$4m Vol.

$328k today

$237k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

84%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

$4m Vol.

$328k today

$237k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

Geopolitics

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

$10m Vol.

$305k today

$130k Liq.

296

Ends in 13 days

70%

December 31

$10m Vol.

$305k today

$130k Liq.

296

Ends in 13 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Geopolitics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

$1m Vol.

$255k today

$397k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

4%

$1m Vol.

$255k today

$397k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Geopolitics

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$3m Vol.

$202k today

$250k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

12%

$3m Vol.

$202k today

$250k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Next Country US Strikes

Geopolitics

Next Country US Strikes

$547k Vol.

$181k today

$146k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

89%

Somalia

$547k Vol.

$181k today

$146k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

Geopolitics

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

$256k Vol.

$122k today

$333k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

100%

February 2

$256k Vol.

$122k today

$333k Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?

Geopolitics

Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?

$2m Vol.

$108k today

$109k Liq.

44

Ends in 11 months

90%

30+ Years

$2m Vol.

$108k today

$109k Liq.

44

Ends in 11 months

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Geopolitics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

$4m Vol.

$104k today

$74.5k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

31%

$4m Vol.

$104k today

$74.5k Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Costa Rica Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Geopolitics

Costa Rica Legislative Assembly Election Winner

$1m Vol.

$99.7k today

$225k Liq.

5

100%

PPSO

$1m Vol.

$99.7k today

$225k Liq.

5

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Geopolitics

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

$97.5k Vol.

$94.5k today

$21.5k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

23%

$97.5k Vol.

$94.5k today

$21.5k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

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