Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$627,371 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 55%

Naftali Bennett 37%

Avigdor Lieberman 2.0%

Gideon Sa’ar 1.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$627,371
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 15, 2025, 12:21 AM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$627,371 Vol.

Market icon

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 55%

Naftali Bennett 37%

Avigdor Lieberman 2.0%

Gideon Sa’ar 1.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Benjamin Netanyahu

$102,120 Vol.

55%

Naftali Bennett

$201,333 Vol.

37%

Avigdor Lieberman

$107,101 Vol.

2%

Gideon Sa’ar

$98,857 Vol.

1%

Gadi Eizenkot

$10,790 Vol.

1%

Yair Lapid

$12,549 Vol.

1%

Yair Golan

$40,022 Vol.

1%

Benny Gantz

$7,063 Vol.

1%

Yossi Cohen

$20,786 Vol.

1%

Yariv Levin

$11,076 Vol.

1%

Moshe Feiglin

$6,922 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$8,294 Vol.

<1%

Ayelet Shaked

$229 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$229 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$627,371
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 15, 2025, 12:21 AM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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