How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$233,056 Vol.
3 46%
4 20.4%
2 17%
5 6.4%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
0
$10,648 Vol.
2%
0
$10,648 Vol.
2%
1
$17,765 Vol.
6%
1
$17,765 Vol.
6%
2
$24,520 Vol.
17%
2
$24,520 Vol.
17%
3
$9,454 Vol.
46%
3
$9,454 Vol.
46%
4
$11,633 Vol.
20%
4
$11,633 Vol.
20%
5
$11,634 Vol.
6%
5
$11,634 Vol.
6%
6
$6,808 Vol.
2%
6
$6,808 Vol.
2%
7
$9,695 Vol.
2%
7
$9,695 Vol.
2%
8
$13,313 Vol.
2%
8
$13,313 Vol.
2%
9
$30,008 Vol.
1%
9
$30,008 Vol.
1%
10
$1,182 Vol.
1%
10
$1,182 Vol.
1%
11
$6,718 Vol.
<1%
11
$6,718 Vol.
<1%
12
$38,223 Vol.
1%
12
$38,223 Vol.
1%
13
$4,311 Vol.
<1%
13
$4,311 Vol.
<1%
14
$30,801 Vol.
1%
14
$30,801 Vol.
1%
15+
$6,343 Vol.
<1%
15+
$6,343 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Nov 13, 2025, 3:52 PM UTC
Volume
$233,056End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 3:52 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$233,056 Vol.
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
3 46%
4 20.4%
2 17%
5 6.4%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
0
$10,648 Vol.
2%
1
$17,765 Vol.
6%
2
$24,520 Vol.
17%
3
$9,454 Vol.
46%
4
$11,633 Vol.
20%
5
$11,634 Vol.
6%
6
$6,808 Vol.
2%
7
$9,695 Vol.
2%
8
$13,313 Vol.
2%
9
$30,008 Vol.
1%
10
$1,182 Vol.
1%
11
$6,718 Vol.
<1%
12
$38,223 Vol.
1%
13
$4,311 Vol.
<1%
14
$30,801 Vol.
1%
15+
$6,343 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$233,056End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 3:52 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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