Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

2%

May 14

$2M Vol.

$130K Liq.

36

Ends in about 2 months

Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

Trump drops Powell investigation by…?

52%

June 30

$2.7K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

68%

December 31

$116K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

8

Ends in 9 months

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?

1%

$37.5K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

3%

$234K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

33

Ends in 3 months

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

100%

$142K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 days

Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?

Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?

1%

$58.8K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

5%

$0 Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?

Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?

<1%

$0 Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

95%

Kevin Warsh

$14M Vol.

$660K today

$2M Liq.

64

Ends in 7 months

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

97%

No change

$34M Vol.

$4M today

$4M Liq.

18

Ends in about 1 month

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

35%

3.75%

$4M Vol.

$709K today

$244K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

39%

0 (0 bps)

$14M Vol.

$240K today

$1M Liq.

50

Ends in 9 months

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

35%

No Next PM in 2026

$3M Vol.

$196K today

$673K Liq.

42

Ends in 9 months

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

75%

No change

$2M Vol.

$109K today

$280K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

86%

No change

$4M Vol.

$108K today

$877K Liq.

11

Ends in 3 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

62%

December Meeting

$1M Vol.

$182K Liq.

15

Ends in 3 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

96%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$385K Vol.

$93.2K Liq.

17

Ends in about 1 month

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

78%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$712K Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

24%

$646K Vol.

$48.3K Liq.

26

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Powell.

Polymarket currently hosts 152 active markets for Powell that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $81.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decision in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decision in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Powell predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.