2 (50 bps) 27%
3 (75 bps) 24%
1 (25 bps) 17%
4 (100 bps) 12%
$6,205,238 Vol.
$6,205,238 Vol.
0 (0 bps)
$1,274,825 Vol.
6%
1 (25 bps)
$489,475 Vol.
17%
2 (50 bps)
$430,408 Vol.
27%
3 (75 bps)
$310,586 Vol.
24%
4 (100 bps)
$304,812 Vol.
12%
5 (125 bps)
$277,816 Vol.
6%
6 (150 bps)
$897,982 Vol.
3%
7 (175 bps)
$331,135 Vol.
1%
8 (200 bps)
$412,595 Vol.
1%
9 (225 bps)
$287,997 Vol.
1%
10 (250 bps)
$307,264 Vol.
<1%
11 (275 bps)
$367,804 Vol.
1%
12+ (300+ bps)
$512,540 Vol.
2%
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
Created At: Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...2 (50 bps) 27%
3 (75 bps) 24%
1 (25 bps) 17%
4 (100 bps) 12%
$6,205,238 Vol.
$6,205,238 Vol.
0 (0 bps)
6%
1 (25 bps)
17%
2 (50 bps)
27%
3 (75 bps)
24%
4 (100 bps)
12%
5 (125 bps)
6%
6 (150 bps)
3%
7 (175 bps)
1%
8 (200 bps)
1%
9 (225 bps)
1%
10 (250 bps)
<1%
11 (275 bps)
1%
12+ (300+ bps)
2%
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.