Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a wide-open bidding process for the Seattle Seahawks NFL franchise, placed on the market by the Paul G. Allen estate in mid-February following their Super Bowl LX victory, with the sale expected to command a record $8-11 billion through the 2026 offseason. Jeff Bezos holds a slim edge at 44.5% implied probability over Larry Ellison's 42.5%, driven by Bezos' longstanding Seattle ties, Amazon headquarters proximity, and prior NFL pursuit like the Commanders, despite insider reports downplaying his involvement; Ellison's near-parity stems from his $200B+ fortune and history eyeing NFL teams such as the Broncos. Mariners chairman John Stanton's 24% share surged on recent buzz as a local favorite to consolidate Seattle sports ownership, while lower probabilities for figures like LeBron James, Marshawn Lynch, Bill Gates, Steve Ballmer, and Macklemore highlight the premium on billionaire firepower amid NFL owner ratification hurdles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLarry Ellison 42%
John Stanton 25%
Jeff Bezos 22%
Macklemore 6.9%
$28,755 Vol.
$28,755 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
Larry Ellison
42%
John Stanton
25%
Jeff Bezos
44%
Macklemore
7%
LeBron James
13%
Marshawn Lynch
11%
Steve Ballmer
9%
Bill Gates
9%
Larry Ellison 42%
John Stanton 25%
Jeff Bezos 22%
Macklemore 6.9%
$28,755 Vol.
$28,755 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
Larry Ellison
$28,755 Vol.
42%
John Stanton
$0 Vol.
25%
Jeff Bezos
$0 Vol.
44%
Macklemore
$0 Vol.
7%
LeBron James
$0 Vol.
13%
Marshawn Lynch
$0 Vol.
11%
Steve Ballmer
$0 Vol.
9%
Bill Gates
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the named individual who is publicly announced as having agreed to purchase the Seattle Seahawks by September 9, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET (the beginning of the 2026 NFL regular season).
If no sale is announced before this time, this market will resolve to "Other".
For the purposes of this market, an announcement must confirm that the Paul G. Allen estate (also known as Vulcan LLC) has reached a binding agreement to sell a majority interest in the team. Minority sales will not be considered.
If a sale is announced to an individual that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as joint owners or part of the same ownership group, this market will resolve to the individual announced as the controlling owner.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as the controlling owners, this market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the completion (closing) of the sale is not required.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the National Football League or the Seattle Seahawks. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a wide-open bidding process for the Seattle Seahawks NFL franchise, placed on the market by the Paul G. Allen estate in mid-February following their Super Bowl LX victory, with the sale expected to command a record $8-11 billion through the 2026 offseason. Jeff Bezos holds a slim edge at 44.5% implied probability over Larry Ellison's 42.5%, driven by Bezos' longstanding Seattle ties, Amazon headquarters proximity, and prior NFL pursuit like the Commanders, despite insider reports downplaying his involvement; Ellison's near-parity stems from his $200B+ fortune and history eyeing NFL teams such as the Broncos. Mariners chairman John Stanton's 24% share surged on recent buzz as a local favorite to consolidate Seattle sports ownership, while lower probabilities for figures like LeBron James, Marshawn Lynch, Bill Gates, Steve Ballmer, and Macklemore highlight the premium on billionaire firepower amid NFL owner ratification hurdles.
This market will resolve to the named individual who is publicly announced as having agreed to purchase the Seattle Seahawks by September 9, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET (the beginning of the 2026 NFL regular season).
If no sale is announced before this time, this market will resolve to "Other".
For the purposes of this market, an announcement must confirm that the Paul G. Allen estate (also known as Vulcan LLC) has reached a binding agreement to sell a majority interest in the team. Minority sales will not be considered.
If a sale is announced to an individual that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as joint owners or part of the same ownership group, this market will resolve to the individual announced as the controlling owner.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as the controlling owners, this market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the completion (closing) of the sale is not required.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the National Football League or the Seattle Seahawks. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no sale is announced before this time, this market will resolve to "Other".
For the purposes of this market, an announcement must confirm that the Paul G. Allen estate (also known as Vulcan LLC) has reached a binding agreement to sell a majority interest in the team. Minority sales will not be considered.
If a sale is announced to an individual that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as joint owners or part of the same ownership group, this market will resolve to the individual announced as the controlling owner.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as the controlling owners, this market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the completion (closing) of the sale is not required.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the National Football League or the Seattle Seahawks. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 4, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
Volume
$28,755End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the named individual who is publicly announced as having agreed to purchase the Seattle Seahawks by September 9, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET (the beginning of the 2026 NFL regular season).
If no sale is announced before this time, this market will resolve to "Other".
For the purposes of this market, an announcement must confirm that the Paul G. Allen estate (also known as Vulcan LLC) has reached a binding agreement to sell a majority interest in the team. Minority sales will not be considered.
If a sale is announced to an individual that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as joint owners or part of the same ownership group, this market will resolve to the individual announced as the controlling owner.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as the controlling owners, this market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the completion (closing) of the sale is not required.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the National Football League or the Seattle Seahawks. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a wide-open bidding process for the Seattle Seahawks NFL franchise, placed on the market by the Paul G. Allen estate in mid-February following their Super Bowl LX victory, with the sale expected to command a record $8-11 billion through the 2026 offseason. Jeff Bezos holds a slim edge at 44.5% implied probability over Larry Ellison's 42.5%, driven by Bezos' longstanding Seattle ties, Amazon headquarters proximity, and prior NFL pursuit like the Commanders, despite insider reports downplaying his involvement; Ellison's near-parity stems from his $200B+ fortune and history eyeing NFL teams such as the Broncos. Mariners chairman John Stanton's 24% share surged on recent buzz as a local favorite to consolidate Seattle sports ownership, while lower probabilities for figures like LeBron James, Marshawn Lynch, Bill Gates, Steve Ballmer, and Macklemore highlight the premium on billionaire firepower amid NFL owner ratification hurdles.
This market will resolve to the named individual who is publicly announced as having agreed to purchase the Seattle Seahawks by September 9, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET (the beginning of the 2026 NFL regular season).
If no sale is announced before this time, this market will resolve to "Other".
For the purposes of this market, an announcement must confirm that the Paul G. Allen estate (also known as Vulcan LLC) has reached a binding agreement to sell a majority interest in the team. Minority sales will not be considered.
If a sale is announced to an individual that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as joint owners or part of the same ownership group, this market will resolve to the individual announced as the controlling owner.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as the controlling owners, this market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the completion (closing) of the sale is not required.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the National Football League or the Seattle Seahawks. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no sale is announced before this time, this market will resolve to "Other".
For the purposes of this market, an announcement must confirm that the Paul G. Allen estate (also known as Vulcan LLC) has reached a binding agreement to sell a majority interest in the team. Minority sales will not be considered.
If a sale is announced to an individual that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as joint owners or part of the same ownership group, this market will resolve to the individual announced as the controlling owner.
If two or more listed individuals are announced as the controlling owners, this market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the completion (closing) of the sale is not required.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the National Football League or the Seattle Seahawks. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,755End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 1:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a wide-open bidding process for the Seattle Seahawks NFL franchise, placed on the market by the Paul G. Allen estate in mid-February following their Super Bowl LX victory, with the sale expected to command a record $8-11 billion through the 2026 offseason. Jeff Bezos holds a slim edge at 44.5% implied probability over Larry Ellison's 42.5%, driven by Bezos' longstanding Seattle ties, Amazon headquarters proximity, and prior NFL pursuit like the Commanders, despite insider reports downplaying his involvement; Ellison's near-parity stems from his $200B+ fortune and history eyeing NFL teams such as the Broncos. Mariners chairman John Stanton's 24% share surged on recent buzz as a local favorite to consolidate Seattle sports ownership, while lower probabilities for figures like LeBron James, Marshawn Lynch, Bill Gates, Steve Ballmer, and Macklemore highlight the premium on billionaire firepower amid NFL owner ratification hurdles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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