Scottie Scheffler's elite ball-striking and defending champion status at Augusta National anchor his 17.5% implied probability, bolstered by top-ranked strokes gained tee-to-green metrics despite a recent hand injury recovery. Rory McIlroy's pursuit of the career grand slam fuels his 9.5% share, driven by booming drives and strong par-5 scoring, though erratic putting tempers enthusiasm. Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) and Jon Rahm (6.3%) differentiate via power and short-game wizardry—highlighted by DeChambeau's U.S. Open title and Rahm's 2023 green jacket—while Ludvig Aberg's rapid rise (5.9%) stems from runner-up finishes in majors. Trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field amid variable winds and firm greens, prioritizing Augusta course history over raw form.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.3%
$50,290,679 Vol.
$50,290,679 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
6%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Justin Rose
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Sergio Garcia
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.3%
$50,290,679 Vol.
$50,290,679 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
6%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Justin Rose
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Sergio Garcia
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's elite ball-striking and defending champion status at Augusta National anchor his 17.5% implied probability, bolstered by top-ranked strokes gained tee-to-green metrics despite a recent hand injury recovery. Rory McIlroy's pursuit of the career grand slam fuels his 9.5% share, driven by booming drives and strong par-5 scoring, though erratic putting tempers enthusiasm. Bryson DeChambeau (6.5%) and Jon Rahm (6.3%) differentiate via power and short-game wizardry—highlighted by DeChambeau's U.S. Open title and Rahm's 2023 green jacket—while Ludvig Aberg's rapid rise (5.9%) stems from runner-up finishes in majors. Trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field amid variable winds and firm greens, prioritizing Augusta course history over raw form.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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