Keith Mitchell's three-shot lead at 11-under after 54 holes anchors trader consensus for the Valspar Championship top 10 market, with Peter Malnati (10-under) and Russell Henley (8-under) firmly entrenched as near-certainties per implied probabilities. Bunchings around 6-under—featuring Max Greyserman, Brice Garnett, and Adam Schenk—keep volatility high on the accuracy-testing Copperhead Course, where recent birdie barrages by mid-pack chasers like Denny McCarthy underscore upside potential. No major injuries reported, but Sam Burns' withdrawal bolsters paths for others; Sunday's calm weather and early tee times favor rested frontrunners, though historical data shows 25% top-10 turnover for those four shots back entering the final round.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedViktor Hovland
54%
Bud Cauley
51%
Nick Dunlap
51%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Zac Blair
50%
Keegan Bradley
50%
Michael Brennan
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Blades Brown
50%
Daniel Brown
50%
Patrick Cantlay
50%
Ricky Castillo
50%
Davis Chatfield
50%
Luke Clanton
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Eric Cole
50%
Corey Conners
50%
Pierceson Coody
50%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
50%
Austin Eckroat
50%
A.J. Ewart
50%
Tony Finau
50%
Steven Fisk
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
David Ford
50%
Doug Ghim
50%
Lucas Glover
50%
Ben Griffin
50%
Emiliano Grillo
50%
Adam Hadwin
50%
Garrick Higgo
50%
Joe Highsmith
50%
Ryo Hisatsune
50%
Lee Hodges
50%
Rico Hoey
50%
Rasmus Hojgaard
50%
Max Homa
50%
Billy Horschel
50%
Beau Hossler
50%
Mark Hubbard
50%
Sung-Jae Im
50%
Stephan Jaeger
50%
Takumi Kanaya
50%
Johnny Keefer
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
50%
Tom Kim
50%
Patton Kizzire
50%
Greg Koch
50%
Brooks Koepka
50%
Matt Kuchar
50%
Henry Lebioda
50%
David Lipsky
50%
Matt McCarty
50%
Max McGreevy
50%
Mac Meissner
50%
Taylor Moore
50%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
50%
Andrew Novak
50%
John Parry
50%
Jeremy Paul
50%
Matthieu Pavon
50%
Taylor Pendrith
50%
Marco Penge
50%
Paul Peterson
50%
Aaron Rai
50%
Chad Ramey
50%
Davis Riley
50%
Patrick Rodgers
50%
Kevin Roy
50%
Marcelo Rozo
50%
Adrien Saddier
50%
Adam Schenk
50%
Matthias Schmid
50%
Zach Bauchou
50%
Brian Campbell
50%
Rafael Campos
50%
Cam Davis
50%
Ze-Cheng Dou
50%
Brice Garnett
50%
Max Greyserman
50%
Kensei Hirata
50%
Charley Hoffman
50%
Jeffrey Kang
50%
Peter Malnati
50%
Pontus Nyholm
50%
Isaiah Salinda
50%
Gordon Sargent
50%
Xander Schauffele
48%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
47%
Nicolai Hojgaard
47%
Kristoffer Reitan
45%
Chandler Blanchet
44%
Mackenzie Hughes
43%
Thorbjorn Olesen
43%
Chandler Phillips
43%
Patrick Fishburn
16%
Robert MacIntyre
15%
Keith Mitchell
14%
William Mouw
4%
$415 Vol.
Viktor Hovland
54%
Bud Cauley
51%
Nick Dunlap
51%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Zac Blair
50%
Keegan Bradley
50%
Michael Brennan
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Blades Brown
50%
Daniel Brown
50%
Patrick Cantlay
50%
Ricky Castillo
50%
Davis Chatfield
50%
Luke Clanton
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Eric Cole
50%
Corey Conners
50%
Pierceson Coody
50%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
50%
Austin Eckroat
50%
A.J. Ewart
50%
Tony Finau
50%
Steven Fisk
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
David Ford
50%
Doug Ghim
50%
Lucas Glover
50%
Ben Griffin
50%
Emiliano Grillo
50%
Adam Hadwin
50%
Garrick Higgo
50%
Joe Highsmith
50%
Ryo Hisatsune
50%
Lee Hodges
50%
Rico Hoey
50%
Rasmus Hojgaard
50%
Max Homa
50%
Billy Horschel
50%
Beau Hossler
50%
Mark Hubbard
50%
Sung-Jae Im
50%
Stephan Jaeger
50%
Takumi Kanaya
50%
Johnny Keefer
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
50%
Tom Kim
50%
Patton Kizzire
50%
Greg Koch
50%
Brooks Koepka
50%
Matt Kuchar
50%
Henry Lebioda
50%
David Lipsky
50%
Matt McCarty
50%
Max McGreevy
50%
Mac Meissner
50%
Taylor Moore
50%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
50%
Andrew Novak
50%
John Parry
50%
Jeremy Paul
50%
Matthieu Pavon
50%
Taylor Pendrith
50%
Marco Penge
50%
Paul Peterson
50%
Aaron Rai
50%
Chad Ramey
50%
Davis Riley
50%
Patrick Rodgers
50%
Kevin Roy
50%
Marcelo Rozo
50%
Adrien Saddier
50%
Adam Schenk
50%
Matthias Schmid
50%
Zach Bauchou
50%
Brian Campbell
50%
Rafael Campos
50%
Cam Davis
50%
Ze-Cheng Dou
50%
Brice Garnett
50%
Max Greyserman
50%
Kensei Hirata
50%
Charley Hoffman
50%
Jeffrey Kang
50%
Peter Malnati
50%
Pontus Nyholm
50%
Isaiah Salinda
50%
Gordon Sargent
50%
Xander Schauffele
48%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
47%
Nicolai Hojgaard
47%
Kristoffer Reitan
45%
Chandler Blanchet
44%
Mackenzie Hughes
43%
Thorbjorn Olesen
43%
Chandler Phillips
43%
Patrick Fishburn
16%
Robert MacIntyre
15%
Keith Mitchell
14%
William Mouw
4%
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Keith Mitchell's three-shot lead at 11-under after 54 holes anchors trader consensus for the Valspar Championship top 10 market, with Peter Malnati (10-under) and Russell Henley (8-under) firmly entrenched as near-certainties per implied probabilities. Bunchings around 6-under—featuring Max Greyserman, Brice Garnett, and Adam Schenk—keep volatility high on the accuracy-testing Copperhead Course, where recent birdie barrages by mid-pack chasers like Denny McCarthy underscore upside potential. No major injuries reported, but Sam Burns' withdrawal bolsters paths for others; Sunday's calm weather and early tee times favor rested frontrunners, though historical data shows 25% top-10 turnover for those four shots back entering the final round.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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